Recent forecast guidance from global models places Amsterdam’s minimum temperature on September 21 near 12–13 °C, reflecting a stable high-pressure regime with light northwesterly flow and clear to partly cloudy skies that allow efficient nocturnal radiational cooling. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because upstream Atlantic ridging limits warm-air advection, while dew-point values near 9–11 °C and modest wind speeds (under 10 km h⁻¹ overnight) favor minima clustered around the historical late-September average of 10.5 °C. Traders therefore assign nearly equal implied probability to 12 °C and 13 °C, with lower odds on sub-10 °C outcomes reflecting the absence of strong cold-air advection or clear-sky extremes in the current pattern. Updated model runs tonight will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月21日のアムステルダムの最低気温は？
9月21日のアムステルダムの最低気温は？
7℃以下 87%
13℃ 56%
12°C 42%
8°C 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
7℃以下
87%
8°C
40%
9℃
2%
10°C
8%
11℃
19%
12°C
42%
13℃
41%
14℃
9%
15℃
39%
16°C
38%
17℃以上
2%
7℃以下 87%
13℃ 56%
12°C 42%
8°C 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
7℃以下
$0 Vol.
87%
8°C
$0 Vol.
40%
9℃
$0 Vol.
2%
10°C
$0 Vol.
8%
11℃
$6 Vol.
19%
12°C
$24 Vol.
42%
13℃
$116 Vol.
41%
14℃
$217 Vol.
9%
15℃
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C
$0 Vol.
38%
17℃以上
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from global models places Amsterdam’s minimum temperature on September 21 near 12–13 °C, reflecting a stable high-pressure regime with light northwesterly flow and clear to partly cloudy skies that allow efficient nocturnal radiational cooling. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because upstream Atlantic ridging limits warm-air advection, while dew-point values near 9–11 °C and modest wind speeds (under 10 km h⁻¹ overnight) favor minima clustered around the historical late-September average of 10.5 °C. Traders therefore assign nearly equal implied probability to 12 °C and 13 °C, with lower odds on sub-10 °C outcomes reflecting the absence of strong cold-air advection or clear-sky extremes in the current pattern. Updated model runs tonight will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$363終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from global models places Amsterdam’s minimum temperature on September 21 near 12–13 °C, reflecting a stable high-pressure regime with light northwesterly flow and clear to partly cloudy skies that allow efficient nocturnal radiational cooling. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because upstream Atlantic ridging limits warm-air advection, while dew-point values near 9–11 °C and modest wind speeds (under 10 km h⁻¹ overnight) favor minima clustered around the historical late-September average of 10.5 °C. Traders therefore assign nearly equal implied probability to 12 °C and 13 °C, with lower odds on sub-10 °C outcomes reflecting the absence of strong cold-air advection or clear-sky extremes in the current pattern. Updated model runs tonight will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$363終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from global models places Amsterdam’s minimum temperature on September 21 near 12–13 °C, reflecting a stable high-pressure regime with light northwesterly flow and clear to partly cloudy skies that allow efficient nocturnal radiational cooling. Ensemble spreads remain narrow because upstream Atlantic ridging limits warm-air advection, while dew-point values near 9–11 °C and modest wind speeds (under 10 km h⁻¹ overnight) favor minima clustered around the historical late-September average of 10.5 °C. Traders therefore assign nearly equal implied probability to 12 °C and 13 °C, with lower odds on sub-10 °C outcomes reflecting the absence of strong cold-air advection or clear-sky extremes in the current pattern. Updated model runs tonight will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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