**Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a high of roughly 18–19°C (64–66°F) for Amsterdam on September 21, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and stable high pressure near 1030 hPa.** This setup favors modest daytime warming without strong warm-air advection or clear skies that could push readings higher. Afternoon peaks in detailed hourly guidance cluster around 18°C, aligning with the climatological average high of 18.5°C for the date and supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 19°C (64%) and 18°C (21%). Minor upside risk to 20°C (15%) exists if cloud cover thins more than expected or if local observations run a degree warmer than guidance. Lower outcomes remain improbable given the current pattern and lack of cooler air intrusion. Traders are pricing in the consensus of recent model runs and the narrow uncertainty range typical for a 24-hour forecast horizon, with resolution hinging on official KNMI or equivalent maximum temperature readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月21日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
9月21日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
19℃ 64%
18°C 18%
20°C 15%
17°C 2%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
13℃以下
<1%
14℃
1%
15℃
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
18%
19℃
64%
20°C
15%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23℃以上
1%
19℃ 64%
18°C 18%
20°C 15%
17°C 2%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
13℃以下
$267 Vol.
<1%
14℃
$231 Vol.
1%
15℃
$79 Vol.
1%
16°C
$247 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$324 Vol.
2%
18°C
$1,191 Vol.
18%
19℃
$1,761 Vol.
64%
20°C
$972 Vol.
15%
21°C
$408 Vol.
2%
22°C
$13 Vol.
1%
23℃以上
$13 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a high of roughly 18–19°C (64–66°F) for Amsterdam on September 21, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and stable high pressure near 1030 hPa.** This setup favors modest daytime warming without strong warm-air advection or clear skies that could push readings higher. Afternoon peaks in detailed hourly guidance cluster around 18°C, aligning with the climatological average high of 18.5°C for the date and supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 19°C (64%) and 18°C (21%).
Minor upside risk to 20°C (15%) exists if cloud cover thins more than expected or if local observations run a degree warmer than guidance. Lower outcomes remain improbable given the current pattern and lack of cooler air intrusion. Traders are pricing in the consensus of recent model runs and the narrow uncertainty range typical for a 24-hour forecast horizon, with resolution hinging on official KNMI or equivalent maximum temperature readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$5,508終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a high of roughly 18–19°C (64–66°F) for Amsterdam on September 21, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and stable high pressure near 1030 hPa.** This setup favors modest daytime warming without strong warm-air advection or clear skies that could push readings higher. Afternoon peaks in detailed hourly guidance cluster around 18°C, aligning with the climatological average high of 18.5°C for the date and supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 19°C (64%) and 18°C (21%).
Minor upside risk to 20°C (15%) exists if cloud cover thins more than expected or if local observations run a degree warmer than guidance. Lower outcomes remain improbable given the current pattern and lack of cooler air intrusion. Traders are pricing in the consensus of recent model runs and the narrow uncertainty range typical for a 24-hour forecast horizon, with resolution hinging on official KNMI or equivalent maximum temperature readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,508終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a high of roughly 18–19°C (64–66°F) for Amsterdam on September 21, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and stable high pressure near 1030 hPa.** This setup favors modest daytime warming without strong warm-air advection or clear skies that could push readings higher. Afternoon peaks in detailed hourly guidance cluster around 18°C, aligning with the climatological average high of 18.5°C for the date and supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 19°C (64%) and 18°C (21%). Minor upside risk to 20°C (15%) exists if cloud cover thins more than expected or if local observations run a degree warmer than guidance. Lower outcomes remain improbable given the current pattern and lack of cooler air intrusion. Traders are pricing in the consensus of recent model runs and the narrow uncertainty range typical for a 24-hour forecast horizon, with resolution hinging on official KNMI or equivalent maximum temperature readings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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