Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS indicate a maximum temperature of 23–25°C in Paris on September 20 under mostly cloudy skies with light northwest winds and low precipitation chances. This consensus positions 24°C as the leading market outcome, reflecting stable high-pressure influences and a slight positive departure from the September climatological average high near 22°C. Minor model variations in afternoon cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty between 23°C and 25°C, while warmer or cooler extremes remain unlikely absent major pattern shifts. Updated runs from official agencies like Météo-France will provide the next key refinements before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日のパリの最高気温は?
24℃ 38%
23℃ 22%
25℃ 19%
22℃ 19%
20℃以下
<1%
21℃
3%
22℃
19%
23℃
22%
24℃
38%
25℃
19%
26°C
14%
27°C
9%
28°C
2%
29℃
2%
30°C以上
<1%
24℃ 38%
23℃ 22%
25℃ 19%
22℃ 19%
20℃以下
<1%
21℃
3%
22℃
19%
23℃
22%
24℃
38%
25℃
19%
26°C
14%
27°C
9%
28°C
2%
29℃
2%
30°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS indicate a maximum temperature of 23–25°C in Paris on September 20 under mostly cloudy skies with light northwest winds and low precipitation chances. This consensus positions 24°C as the leading market outcome, reflecting stable high-pressure influences and a slight positive departure from the September climatological average high near 22°C. Minor model variations in afternoon cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing introduce uncertainty between 23°C and 25°C, while warmer or cooler extremes remain unlikely absent major pattern shifts. Updated runs from official agencies like Météo-France will provide the next key refinements before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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