**Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light westerly to northwesterly winds will drive the minimum temperature in Paris on September 20 to around 15°C (59°F), with some runs showing 14–16°C.** This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 14°C (42%) and 13°C (28%), reflecting trader consensus on typical early-autumn cooling rates above the 11.1°C climatological average low. High pressure and minimal cloud cover support efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 23–24°C, while weak advection limits warmer air influence. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities stable ahead of final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日のパリの最低気温は？
9月20日のパリの最低気温は？
14℃ 42%
15℃ 23%
13℃ 19%
12℃ 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
10°C以下
3%
11℃
4%
12℃
8%
13℃
28%
14℃
42%
15℃
23%
16℃
3%
17°C
<1%
18℃
1%
19℃
1%
20℃以上
1%
14℃ 42%
15℃ 23%
13℃ 19%
12℃ 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
10°C以下
$0 Vol.
3%
11℃
$50 Vol.
4%
12℃
$77 Vol.
8%
13℃
$768 Vol.
28%
14℃
$2,622 Vol.
42%
15℃
$1,633 Vol.
23%
16℃
$187 Vol.
3%
17°C
$31 Vol.
<1%
18℃
$41 Vol.
1%
19℃
$41 Vol.
1%
20℃以上
$41 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light westerly to northwesterly winds will drive the minimum temperature in Paris on September 20 to around 15°C (59°F), with some runs showing 14–16°C.**
This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 14°C (42%) and 13°C (28%), reflecting trader consensus on typical early-autumn cooling rates above the 11.1°C climatological average low. High pressure and minimal cloud cover support efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 23–24°C, while weak advection limits warmer air influence. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities stable ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$5,490終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light westerly to northwesterly winds will drive the minimum temperature in Paris on September 20 to around 15°C (59°F), with some runs showing 14–16°C.**
This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 14°C (42%) and 13°C (28%), reflecting trader consensus on typical early-autumn cooling rates above the 11.1°C climatological average low. High pressure and minimal cloud cover support efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 23–24°C, while weak advection limits warmer air influence. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities stable ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,490終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Current forecast models from sources like GFS indicate overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light westerly to northwesterly winds will drive the minimum temperature in Paris on September 20 to around 15°C (59°F), with some runs showing 14–16°C.** This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 14°C (42%) and 13°C (28%), reflecting trader consensus on typical early-autumn cooling rates above the 11.1°C climatological average low. High pressure and minimal cloud cover support efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 23–24°C, while weak advection limits warmer air influence. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 24–48 hours, keeping probabilities stable ahead of final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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