Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a high of 25°C for Paris on September 19 under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwest winds and negligible precipitation risk. This outcome aligns with the market's leading 44.5% implied probability and sits above the late-summer climatological average near 21°C. Recent runs show consistent steering patterns and limited diurnal variability, narrowing the likely range to 24–26°C and supporting the combined 89% probability for those three bins. Stable high pressure and dry air masses have kept temperatures elevated relative to seasonal norms, with minimal model spread in the short-term window before resolution. Updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact peak if cloud cover or wind shifts evolve.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月19日のパリの最高気温は？
9月19日のパリの最高気温は？
25℃ 44%
24°C 30%
26°C 15%
28℃ 10%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
21℃以下
<1%
22℃
2%
23℃
8%
24°C
30%
25℃
44%
26°C
15%
27°C
7%
28℃
10%
29℃
2%
30℃
2%
31℃以上
<1%
25℃ 44%
24°C 30%
26°C 15%
28℃ 10%
新規
新規
2026/09/19
21℃以下
$22 Vol.
<1%
22℃
$0 Vol.
2%
23℃
$22 Vol.
8%
24°C
$190 Vol.
30%
25℃
$79 Vol.
44%
26°C
$431 Vol.
15%
27°C
$22 Vol.
7%
28℃
$0 Vol.
10%
29℃
$5 Vol.
2%
30℃
$0 Vol.
2%
31℃以上
$237 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a high of 25°C for Paris on September 19 under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwest winds and negligible precipitation risk. This outcome aligns with the market's leading 44.5% implied probability and sits above the late-summer climatological average near 21°C. Recent runs show consistent steering patterns and limited diurnal variability, narrowing the likely range to 24–26°C and supporting the combined 89% probability for those three bins. Stable high pressure and dry air masses have kept temperatures elevated relative to seasonal norms, with minimal model spread in the short-term window before resolution. Updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact peak if cloud cover or wind shifts evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$1,009終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a high of 25°C for Paris on September 19 under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwest winds and negligible precipitation risk. This outcome aligns with the market's leading 44.5% implied probability and sits above the late-summer climatological average near 21°C. Recent runs show consistent steering patterns and limited diurnal variability, narrowing the likely range to 24–26°C and supporting the combined 89% probability for those three bins. Stable high pressure and dry air masses have kept temperatures elevated relative to seasonal norms, with minimal model spread in the short-term window before resolution. Updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact peak if cloud cover or wind shifts evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,009終了日
2026/09/19マーケット開始日
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETForecast models from sources including GFS indicate a high of 25°C for Paris on September 19 under partly cloudy skies with moderate southwest winds and negligible precipitation risk. This outcome aligns with the market's leading 44.5% implied probability and sits above the late-summer climatological average near 21°C. Recent runs show consistent steering patterns and limited diurnal variability, narrowing the likely range to 24–26°C and supporting the combined 89% probability for those three bins. Stable high pressure and dry air masses have kept temperatures elevated relative to seasonal norms, with minimal model spread in the short-term window before resolution. Updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine the exact peak if cloud cover or wind shifts evolve.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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