**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C minimum in Shenzhen on September 20, driven by persistent subtropical warmth and high humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling.** Current observations and model guidance show nighttime temperatures holding between 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and dew points near 24–25°C, preventing deeper drops. This aligns with typical early-autumn baselines for the region, where September lows average around 24–26°C but have remained elevated amid ongoing warm advection. Lower-probability outcomes like 24°C would require stronger northerly flow or clearer skies for enhanced cooling, scenarios not supported by the latest forecasts. Official station data from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration will determine the final recorded minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日の深センの最低気温は?
27°C 98%
22℃以下 93%
24℃ 20%
23°C 1.0%
$675 Vol.
$675 Vol.
22℃以下
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27°C
はい
28℃
いいえ
29℃
いいえ
30℃
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32°C以上
いいえ
27°C 98%
22℃以下 93%
24℃ 20%
23°C 1.0%
$675 Vol.
$675 Vol.
22℃以下
いいえ
23°C
いいえ
24℃
いいえ
25°C
いいえ
26℃
いいえ
27°C
はい
28℃
いいえ
29℃
いいえ
30℃
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32°C以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
**Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C minimum in Shenzhen on September 20, driven by persistent subtropical warmth and high humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling.** Current observations and model guidance show nighttime temperatures holding between 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and dew points near 24–25°C, preventing deeper drops. This aligns with typical early-autumn baselines for the region, where September lows average around 24–26°C but have remained elevated amid ongoing warm advection. Lower-probability outcomes like 24°C would require stronger northerly flow or clearer skies for enhanced cooling, scenarios not supported by the latest forecasts. Official station data from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration will determine the final recorded minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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