**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 25–27°C for Manila’s minimum temperature today because typical southwest monsoon conditions—persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–95%, and scattered showers—limit nighttime radiative cooling.** In Manila’s tropical urban environment, these factors usually hold overnight lows to 25–26°C, close to September climatological normals from PAGASA and historical records. Light winds reduce mixing, while thunderstorm timing and exact cloud breaks introduce small uncertainties that keep probabilities for 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C nearly even. Lower outcomes below 24°C would require unusually clear skies and drier air, which current model runs and observations do not support.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月20日のマニラの最低気温は？
9月20日のマニラの最低気温は？
21°C以下 90%
25℃ 46%
24°C 20%
23℃ 6%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
21°C以下
90%
22°C
1%
23℃
6%
24°C
20%
25℃
46%
26℃
50%
27℃
49%
28°C
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃以上
<1%
21°C以下 90%
25℃ 46%
24°C 20%
23℃ 6%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
21°C以下
$0 Vol.
90%
22°C
$6 Vol.
1%
23℃
$0 Vol.
6%
24°C
$25 Vol.
20%
25℃
$0 Vol.
46%
26℃
$89 Vol.
50%
27℃
$3 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
29℃
$0 Vol.
<1%
30℃
$0 Vol.
<1%
31℃以上
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 25–27°C for Manila’s minimum temperature today because typical southwest monsoon conditions—persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–95%, and scattered showers—limit nighttime radiative cooling.** In Manila’s tropical urban environment, these factors usually hold overnight lows to 25–26°C, close to September climatological normals from PAGASA and historical records. Light winds reduce mixing, while thunderstorm timing and exact cloud breaks introduce small uncertainties that keep probabilities for 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C nearly even. Lower outcomes below 24°C would require unusually clear skies and drier air, which current model runs and observations do not support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
音量
$154終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 25–27°C for Manila’s minimum temperature today because typical southwest monsoon conditions—persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–95%, and scattered showers—limit nighttime radiative cooling.** In Manila’s tropical urban environment, these factors usually hold overnight lows to 25–26°C, close to September climatological normals from PAGASA and historical records. Light winds reduce mixing, while thunderstorm timing and exact cloud breaks introduce small uncertainties that keep probabilities for 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C nearly even. Lower outcomes below 24°C would require unusually clear skies and drier air, which current model runs and observations do not support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$154終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 12:32 AM ET**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 25–27°C for Manila’s minimum temperature today because typical southwest monsoon conditions—persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 85–95%, and scattered showers—limit nighttime radiative cooling.** In Manila’s tropical urban environment, these factors usually hold overnight lows to 25–26°C, close to September climatological normals from PAGASA and historical records. Light winds reduce mixing, while thunderstorm timing and exact cloud breaks introduce small uncertainties that keep probabilities for 25°C, 26°C, and 27°C nearly even. Lower outcomes below 24°C would require unusually clear skies and drier air, which current model runs and observations do not support.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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