Persistent southwest monsoon activity and expected overnight thunderstorms in Manila are the main factors shaping trader views on the September 21 low, with official PAGASA guidance and model consensus pointing to partly cloudy skies, high humidity near 90 percent, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions typically hold minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 25–26 °C, though variable rainfall intensity could produce localized evaporative cooling or enhanced cloud cover that shifts the exact low by a degree or two. The near-even market split between the 31 °C+ and 21 °C-or-below bins reflects genuine uncertainty around precipitation timing and coverage rather than any strong signal for extremes, as historical September data show few departures beyond this narrow range. Updated PAGASA briefings and evening model runs will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月21日のマニラの最低気温は？
9月21日のマニラの最低気温は？
21℃以下 90%
31°C以上 90%
27℃ 40%
23℃ 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
21℃以下
90%
22℃
13%
23℃
39%
24°C
39%
25℃
22%
26°C
22%
27℃
24%
28℃
39%
29℃
18%
30°C
16%
31°C以上
90%
21℃以下 90%
31°C以上 90%
27℃ 40%
23℃ 39%
新規
新規
2026/09/21
21℃以下
$0 Vol.
90%
22℃
$0 Vol.
13%
23℃
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C
$0 Vol.
39%
25℃
$0 Vol.
22%
26°C
$0 Vol.
22%
27℃
$5 Vol.
24%
28℃
$0 Vol.
39%
29℃
$0 Vol.
18%
30°C
$0 Vol.
16%
31°C以上
$0 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity and expected overnight thunderstorms in Manila are the main factors shaping trader views on the September 21 low, with official PAGASA guidance and model consensus pointing to partly cloudy skies, high humidity near 90 percent, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions typically hold minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 25–26 °C, though variable rainfall intensity could produce localized evaporative cooling or enhanced cloud cover that shifts the exact low by a degree or two. The near-even market split between the 31 °C+ and 21 °C-or-below bins reflects genuine uncertainty around precipitation timing and coverage rather than any strong signal for extremes, as historical September data show few departures beyond this narrow range. Updated PAGASA briefings and evening model runs will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
音量
$5終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity and expected overnight thunderstorms in Manila are the main factors shaping trader views on the September 21 low, with official PAGASA guidance and model consensus pointing to partly cloudy skies, high humidity near 90 percent, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions typically hold minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 25–26 °C, though variable rainfall intensity could produce localized evaporative cooling or enhanced cloud cover that shifts the exact low by a degree or two. The near-even market split between the 31 °C+ and 21 °C-or-below bins reflects genuine uncertainty around precipitation timing and coverage rather than any strong signal for extremes, as historical September data show few departures beyond this narrow range. Updated PAGASA briefings and evening model runs will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5終了日
2026/09/21マーケット開始日
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETPersistent southwest monsoon activity and expected overnight thunderstorms in Manila are the main factors shaping trader views on the September 21 low, with official PAGASA guidance and model consensus pointing to partly cloudy skies, high humidity near 90 percent, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. These conditions typically hold minimum temperatures near the seasonal average of 25–26 °C, though variable rainfall intensity could produce localized evaporative cooling or enhanced cloud cover that shifts the exact low by a degree or two. The near-even market split between the 31 °C+ and 21 °C-or-below bins reflects genuine uncertainty around precipitation timing and coverage rather than any strong signal for extremes, as historical September data show few departures beyond this narrow range. Updated PAGASA briefings and evening model runs will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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