Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate a typical September minimum around 24–26°C for Manila amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity, driving the balanced 45% odds on 21°C or below versus 31°C or higher. In this monsoon period, cloud cover and rainfall can suppress overnight cooling while urban heat islands and light winds limit drops below seasonal baselines; conversely, heavier nocturnal showers or stronger monsoon surges could briefly push minima lower. Model consensus shows low day-to-day variability, yet short-range uncertainty in steering patterns and precipitation timing keeps specific temperature brackets like 23–28°C at modest implied probabilities. Updated ensemble runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月22日のマニラの最低気温は？
9月22日のマニラの最低気温は？
21℃以下 92%
31℃以上 89%
27℃ 45%
26°C 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/22
21℃以下
92%
22℃
17%
23℃
39%
24℃
38%
25℃
39%
26°C
40%
27℃
33%
28°C
39%
29°C
17%
30℃
17%
31℃以上
89%
21℃以下 92%
31℃以上 89%
27℃ 45%
26°C 40%
新規
新規
2026/09/22
21℃以下
$0 Vol.
92%
22℃
$0 Vol.
17%
23℃
$0 Vol.
39%
24℃
$0 Vol.
38%
25℃
$0 Vol.
39%
26°C
$0 Vol.
40%
27℃
$43 Vol.
33%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C
$0 Vol.
17%
30℃
$0 Vol.
17%
31℃以上
$0 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate a typical September minimum around 24–26°C for Manila amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity, driving the balanced 45% odds on 21°C or below versus 31°C or higher. In this monsoon period, cloud cover and rainfall can suppress overnight cooling while urban heat islands and light winds limit drops below seasonal baselines; conversely, heavier nocturnal showers or stronger monsoon surges could briefly push minima lower. Model consensus shows low day-to-day variability, yet short-range uncertainty in steering patterns and precipitation timing keeps specific temperature brackets like 23–28°C at modest implied probabilities. Updated ensemble runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
音量
$43終了日
2026/09/22マーケット開始日
Sep 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate a typical September minimum around 24–26°C for Manila amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity, driving the balanced 45% odds on 21°C or below versus 31°C or higher. In this monsoon period, cloud cover and rainfall can suppress overnight cooling while urban heat islands and light winds limit drops below seasonal baselines; conversely, heavier nocturnal showers or stronger monsoon surges could briefly push minima lower. Model consensus shows low day-to-day variability, yet short-range uncertainty in steering patterns and precipitation timing keeps specific temperature brackets like 23–28°C at modest implied probabilities. Updated ensemble runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$43終了日
2026/09/22マーケット開始日
Sep 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ETRecent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate a typical September minimum around 24–26°C for Manila amid scattered thunderstorms and high humidity, driving the balanced 45% odds on 21°C or below versus 31°C or higher. In this monsoon period, cloud cover and rainfall can suppress overnight cooling while urban heat islands and light winds limit drops below seasonal baselines; conversely, heavier nocturnal showers or stronger monsoon surges could briefly push minima lower. Model consensus shows low day-to-day variability, yet short-range uncertainty in steering patterns and precipitation timing keeps specific temperature brackets like 23–28°C at modest implied probabilities. Updated ensemble runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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