Latest National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts show a warming trend driven by weak upper-level ridging and a shrinking marine layer over Southern California, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to mostly sunny conditions and light onshore flow on September 23. This setup supports afternoon highs primarily in the upper 70s to low 80s at coastal stations such as LAX, consistent with the market’s leading 78-79°F bin at 51% implied probability. Model consensus places the most likely peak near or slightly above the late-September climatological average of 76°F, though weak offshore gradients could allow brief excursions into the mid-80s. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates heavily against historical variability and the final 24-hour observational window before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月23日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は？
9月23日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は？
78～79°F 51%
80〜81°F 22%
76-77°F 19%
82～83°F 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/23
71°F以下
<1%
72〜73°F
<1%
74～75°F
3%
76-77°F
19%
78～79°F
51%
80〜81°F
22%
82～83°F
8%
84〜85°F
2%
86～87°F
1%
88～89°F
<1%
華氏90度以上
<1%
78～79°F 51%
80〜81°F 22%
76-77°F 19%
82～83°F 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/23
71°F以下
$137 Vol.
<1%
72〜73°F
$548 Vol.
<1%
74～75°F
$605 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$1,881 Vol.
19%
78～79°F
$1,600 Vol.
51%
80〜81°F
$840 Vol.
22%
82～83°F
$793 Vol.
8%
84〜85°F
$593 Vol.
2%
86～87°F
$808 Vol.
1%
88～89°F
$110 Vol.
<1%
華氏90度以上
$105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts show a warming trend driven by weak upper-level ridging and a shrinking marine layer over Southern California, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to mostly sunny conditions and light onshore flow on September 23. This setup supports afternoon highs primarily in the upper 70s to low 80s at coastal stations such as LAX, consistent with the market’s leading 78-79°F bin at 51% implied probability. Model consensus places the most likely peak near or slightly above the late-September climatological average of 76°F, though weak offshore gradients could allow brief excursions into the mid-80s. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates heavily against historical variability and the final 24-hour observational window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 21, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
音量
$8,021終了日
2026/09/23マーケット開始日
Sep 21, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts show a warming trend driven by weak upper-level ridging and a shrinking marine layer over Southern California, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to mostly sunny conditions and light onshore flow on September 23. This setup supports afternoon highs primarily in the upper 70s to low 80s at coastal stations such as LAX, consistent with the market’s leading 78-79°F bin at 51% implied probability. Model consensus places the most likely peak near or slightly above the late-September climatological average of 76°F, though weak offshore gradients could allow brief excursions into the mid-80s. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates heavily against historical variability and the final 24-hour observational window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$8,021終了日
2026/09/23マーケット開始日
Sep 21, 2026, 7:56 AM ETLatest National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts show a warming trend driven by weak upper-level ridging and a shrinking marine layer over Southern California, with morning low clouds and fog giving way to mostly sunny conditions and light onshore flow on September 23. This setup supports afternoon highs primarily in the upper 70s to low 80s at coastal stations such as LAX, consistent with the market’s leading 78-79°F bin at 51% implied probability. Model consensus places the most likely peak near or slightly above the late-September climatological average of 76°F, though weak offshore gradients could allow brief excursions into the mid-80s. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates heavily against historical variability and the final 24-hour observational window before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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