Recent meteorological model consensus and ongoing summer monsoon patterns in eastern China position the 28°C outcome as the market leader for Shanghai’s August 7 minimum, with 27–29°C collectively commanding over 95% of trader-implied probability. Persistent high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy or showery conditions have kept recent overnight lows near 28°C, aligning with long-term August climatology of 25–30°C minima. Stable steering patterns without incoming typhoon or cold-front influences reduce the chance of sharper drops, while ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty around potential localized showers. Forecasters will monitor updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind that could alter the distribution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日の上海の最低気温は？
8月7日の上海の最低気温は？
28℃ 47%
29°C 34%
27°C 19%
25℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
23°C以下
<1%
24°C
1%
25℃
5%
26°C
3%
27°C
19%
28℃
47%
29°C
34%
30°C
1%
31℃
5%
32°C
5%
33°C以上
1%
28℃ 47%
29°C 34%
27°C 19%
25℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
23°C以下
$85 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$30 Vol.
1%
25℃
$35 Vol.
5%
26°C
$20 Vol.
3%
27°C
$20 Vol.
19%
28℃
$20 Vol.
47%
29°C
$24 Vol.
34%
30°C
$38 Vol.
1%
31℃
$38 Vol.
5%
32°C
$50 Vol.
5%
33°C以上
$75 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus and ongoing summer monsoon patterns in eastern China position the 28°C outcome as the market leader for Shanghai’s August 7 minimum, with 27–29°C collectively commanding over 95% of trader-implied probability. Persistent high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy or showery conditions have kept recent overnight lows near 28°C, aligning with long-term August climatology of 25–30°C minima. Stable steering patterns without incoming typhoon or cold-front influences reduce the chance of sharper drops, while ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty around potential localized showers. Forecasters will monitor updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind that could alter the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$437終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus and ongoing summer monsoon patterns in eastern China position the 28°C outcome as the market leader for Shanghai’s August 7 minimum, with 27–29°C collectively commanding over 95% of trader-implied probability. Persistent high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy or showery conditions have kept recent overnight lows near 28°C, aligning with long-term August climatology of 25–30°C minima. Stable steering patterns without incoming typhoon or cold-front influences reduce the chance of sharper drops, while ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty around potential localized showers. Forecasters will monitor updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind that could alter the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$437終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent meteorological model consensus and ongoing summer monsoon patterns in eastern China position the 28°C outcome as the market leader for Shanghai’s August 7 minimum, with 27–29°C collectively commanding over 95% of trader-implied probability. Persistent high humidity and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under cloudy or showery conditions have kept recent overnight lows near 28°C, aligning with long-term August climatology of 25–30°C minima. Stable steering patterns without incoming typhoon or cold-front influences reduce the chance of sharper drops, while ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty around potential localized showers. Forecasters will monitor updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours for any shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind that could alter the distribution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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