Recent extended forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shenzhen highs near 32–35°C on August 7, 2026, consistent with the market's concentration on 34°C (42.5%) and 35°C (24.5%) as leading outcomes. In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, peak temperatures during early August typically reflect seasonal norms of 32°C, modulated by cloud cover, humidity near 80%, and any steering influences from regional pressure systems. Model guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, with no strong typhoon signals or anomalous heat buildup noted in the latest runs, supporting trader positioning around modest above-average readings. Updated forecasts closer to the date will refine these probabilities amid inherent model spread.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日の深センの最高気温は?
34℃ 38%
35°C 24%
33°C 21%
36℃ 9%
28°C以下
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃
2%
32℃
4%
33°C
21%
34℃
38%
35°C
24%
36℃
9%
37℃
4%
38°C以上
1%
34℃ 38%
35°C 24%
33°C 21%
36℃ 9%
28°C以下
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃
2%
32℃
4%
33°C
21%
34℃
38%
35°C
24%
36℃
9%
37℃
4%
38°C以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent extended forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Shenzhen highs near 32–35°C on August 7, 2026, consistent with the market's concentration on 34°C (42.5%) and 35°C (24.5%) as leading outcomes. In Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon climate, peak temperatures during early August typically reflect seasonal norms of 32°C, modulated by cloud cover, humidity near 80%, and any steering influences from regional pressure systems. Model guidance shows limited day-to-day variability, with no strong typhoon signals or anomalous heat buildup noted in the latest runs, supporting trader positioning around modest above-average readings. Updated forecasts closer to the date will refine these probabilities amid inherent model spread.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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