Recent short-term forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate clear skies and light southerly winds over Qingdao on August 7, supporting surface heating that could push daily maxima into the mid-30s °C range amid an ongoing El Niño-driven warmth anomaly across eastern China. Model consensus highlights subtle differences between 36 °C and 37 °C outcomes based on exact timing of any coastal breeze or thin high cloud, with urban heat-island effects and measurement protocols at official stations adding minor upside potential. Historical August baselines near 29–30 °C provide context for the elevated trader-implied odds around 36–37 °C, though any last-minute forecast shift from the China Meteorological Administration could narrow the spread between the leading bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日の青島の最高気温は?
37℃ 36%
36℃ 30%
38℃ 18%
35°C 13%
31℃以下
1%
32°C
2%
33℃
3%
34°C
3%
35°C
13%
36℃
30%
37℃
36%
38℃
18%
39℃
10%
40℃
3%
41℃以上
1%
37℃ 36%
36℃ 30%
38℃ 18%
35°C 13%
31℃以下
1%
32°C
2%
33℃
3%
34°C
3%
35°C
13%
36℃
30%
37℃
36%
38℃
18%
39℃
10%
40℃
3%
41℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-term forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate clear skies and light southerly winds over Qingdao on August 7, supporting surface heating that could push daily maxima into the mid-30s °C range amid an ongoing El Niño-driven warmth anomaly across eastern China. Model consensus highlights subtle differences between 36 °C and 37 °C outcomes based on exact timing of any coastal breeze or thin high cloud, with urban heat-island effects and measurement protocols at official stations adding minor upside potential. Historical August baselines near 29–30 °C provide context for the elevated trader-implied odds around 36–37 °C, though any last-minute forecast shift from the China Meteorological Administration could narrow the spread between the leading bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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