**Recent high-temperature alerts across Shandong province, including northern Qingdao, combined with numerical weather prediction consensus, are driving market-implied odds toward a daily maximum of 36°C on August 6.** Ongoing subsidence under a strong high-pressure ridge has sustained extreme heat, with nearby stations recording peaks near 40°C earlier in the week and models projecting 35–37°C for the coastal city despite moderating sea breezes. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors above-normal readings. Coastal Qingdao’s urban heat island and variable wind patterns add uncertainty, keeping probabilities spread across 35–37°C while lower outcomes remain discounted. Updated CMA guidance or final observational data on August 7 will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日の青島の最高気温は？
8月6日の青島の最高気温は？
36℃ 42%
37℃ 28%
35℃ 17%
38℃以上 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
28°C以下
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32℃
1%
33℃
1%
34℃
5%
35℃
17%
36℃
42%
37℃
28%
38℃以上
11%
36℃ 42%
37℃ 28%
35℃ 17%
38℃以上 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
28°C以下
$267 Vol.
<1%
29℃
$267 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$267 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,052 Vol.
<1%
32℃
$636 Vol.
1%
33℃
$295 Vol.
1%
34℃
$879 Vol.
5%
35℃
$747 Vol.
17%
36℃
$1,514 Vol.
42%
37℃
$1,218 Vol.
28%
38℃以上
$950 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent high-temperature alerts across Shandong province, including northern Qingdao, combined with numerical weather prediction consensus, are driving market-implied odds toward a daily maximum of 36°C on August 6.** Ongoing subsidence under a strong high-pressure ridge has sustained extreme heat, with nearby stations recording peaks near 40°C earlier in the week and models projecting 35–37°C for the coastal city despite moderating sea breezes. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors above-normal readings. Coastal Qingdao’s urban heat island and variable wind patterns add uncertainty, keeping probabilities spread across 35–37°C while lower outcomes remain discounted. Updated CMA guidance or final observational data on August 7 will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
音量
$8,090終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent high-temperature alerts across Shandong province, including northern Qingdao, combined with numerical weather prediction consensus, are driving market-implied odds toward a daily maximum of 36°C on August 6.** Ongoing subsidence under a strong high-pressure ridge has sustained extreme heat, with nearby stations recording peaks near 40°C earlier in the week and models projecting 35–37°C for the coastal city despite moderating sea breezes. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors above-normal readings. Coastal Qingdao’s urban heat island and variable wind patterns add uncertainty, keeping probabilities spread across 35–37°C while lower outcomes remain discounted. Updated CMA guidance or final observational data on August 7 will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$8,090終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET**Recent high-temperature alerts across Shandong province, including northern Qingdao, combined with numerical weather prediction consensus, are driving market-implied odds toward a daily maximum of 36°C on August 6.** Ongoing subsidence under a strong high-pressure ridge has sustained extreme heat, with nearby stations recording peaks near 40°C earlier in the week and models projecting 35–37°C for the coastal city despite moderating sea breezes. Historical August averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet the current synoptic pattern favors above-normal readings. Coastal Qingdao’s urban heat island and variable wind patterns add uncertainty, keeping probabilities spread across 35–37°C while lower outcomes remain discounted. Updated CMA guidance or final observational data on August 7 will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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