Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration point to persistent influence from the Western Pacific Subtropical High, sustaining warm, humid air masses over eastern China and supporting daily highs near 32–34°C in Shanghai on August 6. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the leading 33°C (43%) and 34°C (31.5%) contracts. Recent observations show temperatures peaking at 35–37°C earlier in the week before moderating slightly, with urban heat island effects and elevated dew points limiting overnight cooling. Model consensus remains stable absent major frontal passages, though minor shifts in steering flow could adjust the exact maximum by 1°C. Final resolution depends on official station readings, with the next 24-hour forecast updates likely to refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日の上海の最高気温は?
33°C 44%
34°C 31%
32°C 20%
35°C 5%
$13,896 Vol.
$13,896 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
20%
33°C
44%
34°C
31%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 44%
34°C 31%
32°C 20%
35°C 5%
$13,896 Vol.
$13,896 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
20%
33°C
44%
34°C
31%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration point to persistent influence from the Western Pacific Subtropical High, sustaining warm, humid air masses over eastern China and supporting daily highs near 32–34°C in Shanghai on August 6. This aligns with trader consensus reflected in the leading 33°C (43%) and 34°C (31.5%) contracts. Recent observations show temperatures peaking at 35–37°C earlier in the week before moderating slightly, with urban heat island effects and elevated dew points limiting overnight cooling. Model consensus remains stable absent major frontal passages, though minor shifts in steering flow could adjust the exact maximum by 1°C. Final resolution depends on official station readings, with the next 24-hour forecast updates likely to refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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