Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by timeanddate and AccuWeather place Shanghai’s August 7 maximum near 34–35°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity exceeding 70%, and scattered afternoon convection that could limit peak heating. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 33–34°C because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, with any earlier or stronger thunderstorm activity potentially capping the high at 33°C while clearer conditions allow a brief 35°C spike. Historical August climatology supports this narrow range, as daily maxima average 31–33°C but frequently reach 34–36°C when the ridge strengthens without widespread rain. Updated model runs and official Shanghai Meteorological Service briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the precise outcome before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日の上海の最高気温は?
34°C 32%
33°C 29%
35°C 17%
32°C 12%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C
12%
33°C
29%
34°C
32%
35°C
17%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 32%
33°C 29%
35°C 17%
32°C 12%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C
12%
33°C
29%
34°C
32%
35°C
17%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by timeanddate and AccuWeather place Shanghai’s August 7 maximum near 34–35°C amid persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity exceeding 70%, and scattered afternoon convection that could limit peak heating. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 33–34°C because ensemble guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, with any earlier or stronger thunderstorm activity potentially capping the high at 33°C while clearer conditions allow a brief 35°C spike. Historical August climatology supports this narrow range, as daily maxima average 31–33°C but frequently reach 34–36°C when the ridge strengthens without widespread rain. Updated model runs and official Shanghai Meteorological Service briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the precise outcome before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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