Current short-range forecasts from regional models indicate Guangzhou will likely see partly cloudy skies and light winds on August 7, supporting daytime highs in the mid-30s Celsius amid typical subtropical monsoon humidity and moisture. Trader consensus clusters around 36–38°C because ensemble guidance shows modest day-to-day variability tied to cloud-cover fluctuations and any weak frontal passages that could shave 1–2°C off peak readings, while clear intervals allow radiative heating to push closer to 38°C. With the resolution window only two days away, updated China Meteorological Administration runs will refine the exact maximum and directly influence market-implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日の広州の最高気温は?
37°C 30%
36℃ 27%
38℃ 21%
34℃ 12%
30℃以下
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33℃
8%
34℃
12%
35℃
9%
36℃
27%
37°C
30%
38℃
21%
39°C
7%
40°C以上
12%
37°C 30%
36℃ 27%
38℃ 21%
34℃ 12%
30℃以下
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33℃
8%
34℃
12%
35℃
9%
36℃
27%
37°C
30%
38℃
21%
39°C
7%
40°C以上
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current short-range forecasts from regional models indicate Guangzhou will likely see partly cloudy skies and light winds on August 7, supporting daytime highs in the mid-30s Celsius amid typical subtropical monsoon humidity and moisture. Trader consensus clusters around 36–38°C because ensemble guidance shows modest day-to-day variability tied to cloud-cover fluctuations and any weak frontal passages that could shave 1–2°C off peak readings, while clear intervals allow radiative heating to push closer to 38°C. With the resolution window only two days away, updated China Meteorological Administration runs will refine the exact maximum and directly influence market-implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問