Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 6 project a daytime maximum of 22°C under sunny intervals following a cooler northerly flow, aligning closely with ensemble model consensus from multiple centers that places the most likely outcome between 22–24°C. This reflects a moderation from earlier August warmth driven by transient high pressure, consistent with climatological norms for early August where daily highs average near 22–23°C. Traders have priced 23°C as the modal outcome at 45.5% implied probability, with tight clustering around adjacent values indicating limited expected variance from current guidance; any shift in steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing could alter the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のロンドンの最高気温は？
8月6日のロンドンの最高気温は？
23°C 47%
24°C 28%
22°C 18%
25°C 4%
新規
$20,611 Vol.
新規
$20,611 Vol.
2026/08/06
19°C or below
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
18%
23°C
47%
24°C
28%
25°C
4%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 47%
24°C 28%
22°C 18%
25°C 4%
新規
$20,611 Vol.
新規
$20,611 Vol.
2026/08/06
19°C or below
$3,375 Vol.
1%
20°C
$1,582 Vol.
2%
21°C
$2,299 Vol.
2%
22°C
$3,373 Vol.
18%
23°C
$3,720 Vol.
47%
24°C
$1,352 Vol.
28%
25°C
$1,276 Vol.
4%
26°C
$792 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$862 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$501 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$1,478 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 6 project a daytime maximum of 22°C under sunny intervals following a cooler northerly flow, aligning closely with ensemble model consensus from multiple centers that places the most likely outcome between 22–24°C. This reflects a moderation from earlier August warmth driven by transient high pressure, consistent with climatological norms for early August where daily highs average near 22–23°C. Traders have priced 23°C as the modal outcome at 45.5% implied probability, with tight clustering around adjacent values indicating limited expected variance from current guidance; any shift in steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing could alter the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
音量
$20,611終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 6 project a daytime maximum of 22°C under sunny intervals following a cooler northerly flow, aligning closely with ensemble model consensus from multiple centers that places the most likely outcome between 22–24°C. This reflects a moderation from earlier August warmth driven by transient high pressure, consistent with climatological norms for early August where daily highs average near 22–23°C. Traders have priced 23°C as the modal outcome at 45.5% implied probability, with tight clustering around adjacent values indicating limited expected variance from current guidance; any shift in steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing could alter the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$20,611終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent Met Office forecasts for London on August 6 project a daytime maximum of 22°C under sunny intervals following a cooler northerly flow, aligning closely with ensemble model consensus from multiple centers that places the most likely outcome between 22–24°C. This reflects a moderation from earlier August warmth driven by transient high pressure, consistent with climatological norms for early August where daily highs average near 22–23°C. Traders have priced 23°C as the modal outcome at 45.5% implied probability, with tight clustering around adjacent values indicating limited expected variance from current guidance; any shift in steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing could alter the peak by 1–2°C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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