Recent forecast models from the German Weather Service indicate a moderate high-pressure ridge over central Europe, supporting daily maximum temperatures in Munich near 27–28°C on August 6, which aligns with the market’s heaviest trading around those bins. Key variables include steering flow from the jet stream, potential southerly warm advection, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that could suppress peaks by 2–3°C or allow brief spikes toward 29°C+ under clearer skies. Historical August averages hover near 23–25°C, but recent model consensus has edged warmer amid lingering summer patterns, though ensemble spread remains wide just 48 hours out. Traders weigh these atmospheric uncertainties against official verification criteria for the day’s highest recorded temperature.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
28°C 33%
29°C or higher 26%
27°C 22%
26°C 16%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
16%
27°C
22%
28°C
33%
29°C or higher
26%
28°C 33%
29°C or higher 26%
27°C 22%
26°C 16%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
16%
27°C
22%
28°C
33%
29°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from the German Weather Service indicate a moderate high-pressure ridge over central Europe, supporting daily maximum temperatures in Munich near 27–28°C on August 6, which aligns with the market’s heaviest trading around those bins. Key variables include steering flow from the jet stream, potential southerly warm advection, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that could suppress peaks by 2–3°C or allow brief spikes toward 29°C+ under clearer skies. Historical August averages hover near 23–25°C, but recent model consensus has edged warmer amid lingering summer patterns, though ensemble spread remains wide just 48 hours out. Traders weigh these atmospheric uncertainties against official verification criteria for the day’s highest recorded temperature.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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