Drier conditions expected across Singapore during the first fortnight of August 2026 under prevailing southwest monsoon flow are the main driver positioning 32°C and 33°C as the leading market outcomes for the August 4 daily maximum. The National Environment Agency’s July 31 outlook projects highs of 33–34°C on most days in this period, reflecting reduced cloud cover and rainfall that allow greater solar insolation and surface heating compared with the long-term August average near 31°C. Near-term model guidance shows daytime peaks around 32–33°C for August 4, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the combined 88% implied probability for those two thresholds, while lower or higher extremes remain limited by typical equatorial humidity and localized afternoon convection. Updated NEA or Meteorological Service Singapore briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日のシンガポールの最高気温は?
32°C 50%
33℃ 39%
31°C 9%
34℃ 4%
27℃以下
<1%
28℃
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
50%
33℃
39%
34℃
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37℃以上
<1%
32°C 50%
33℃ 39%
31°C 9%
34℃ 4%
27℃以下
<1%
28℃
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
50%
33℃
39%
34℃
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Drier conditions expected across Singapore during the first fortnight of August 2026 under prevailing southwest monsoon flow are the main driver positioning 32°C and 33°C as the leading market outcomes for the August 4 daily maximum. The National Environment Agency’s July 31 outlook projects highs of 33–34°C on most days in this period, reflecting reduced cloud cover and rainfall that allow greater solar insolation and surface heating compared with the long-term August average near 31°C. Near-term model guidance shows daytime peaks around 32–33°C for August 4, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the combined 88% implied probability for those two thresholds, while lower or higher extremes remain limited by typical equatorial humidity and localized afternoon convection. Updated NEA or Meteorological Service Singapore briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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