Current short-range forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a typical late-summer high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean, with Istanbul expected to reach a daily maximum near 28–29 °C on August 6 amid light winds and limited cloud cover. Sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara remain near seasonal norms, moderating daytime peaks while the urban heat-island effect and downslope flow from surrounding terrain add localized warming. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, keeping probabilities of 30 °C or higher below 5 percent and colder outcomes equally unlikely. Updated runs through early August have shown little deviation from long-term climatology, anchoring trader consensus around these central outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
8月6日のイスタンブールの最高気温は？
28°C 52%
29℃ 23%
27℃ 20%
26℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
22℃以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26℃
5%
27℃
20%
28°C
52%
29℃
23%
30℃
3%
31℃
1%
32℃以上
<1%
28°C 52%
29℃ 23%
27℃ 20%
26℃ 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
22℃以下
$397 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$439 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$172 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$58 Vol.
1%
26℃
$106 Vol.
5%
27℃
$294 Vol.
20%
28°C
$869 Vol.
52%
29℃
$218 Vol.
23%
30℃
$72 Vol.
3%
31℃
$96 Vol.
1%
32℃以上
$58 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a typical late-summer high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean, with Istanbul expected to reach a daily maximum near 28–29 °C on August 6 amid light winds and limited cloud cover. Sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara remain near seasonal norms, moderating daytime peaks while the urban heat-island effect and downslope flow from surrounding terrain add localized warming. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, keeping probabilities of 30 °C or higher below 5 percent and colder outcomes equally unlikely. Updated runs through early August have shown little deviation from long-term climatology, anchoring trader consensus around these central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
音量
$2,776終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a typical late-summer high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean, with Istanbul expected to reach a daily maximum near 28–29 °C on August 6 amid light winds and limited cloud cover. Sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara remain near seasonal norms, moderating daytime peaks while the urban heat-island effect and downslope flow from surrounding terrain add localized warming. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, keeping probabilities of 30 °C or higher below 5 percent and colder outcomes equally unlikely. Updated runs through early August have shown little deviation from long-term climatology, anchoring trader consensus around these central outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,776終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate a typical late-summer high-pressure regime over the eastern Mediterranean, with Istanbul expected to reach a daily maximum near 28–29 °C on August 6 amid light winds and limited cloud cover. Sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara remain near seasonal norms, moderating daytime peaks while the urban heat-island effect and downslope flow from surrounding terrain add localized warming. Ensemble guidance shows only modest spread, keeping probabilities of 30 °C or higher below 5 percent and colder outcomes equally unlikely. Updated runs through early August have shown little deviation from long-term climatology, anchoring trader consensus around these central outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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