Current forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a moderate high of 20–21°C for Amsterdam on August 6, driven by westerly flow, moderate breeze, and sunny intervals under stable high-pressure influence. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 21°C (41.5%) and 22°C (30.5%), reflecting ensemble consensus on limited daytime heating amid typical North Sea maritime air. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide climatological context, while recent model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, reducing uncertainty for this near-term resolution. Traders weigh the narrow probability spread around these values against minor risks of localized warming if cloud cover decreases more than expected.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のアムステルダムの最高気温は?
21℃ 42%
22°C 31%
20°C 22%
19℃ 4%
$19,101 Vol.
$19,101 Vol.
17℃以下
<1%
18°C
1%
19℃
4%
20°C
22%
21℃
42%
22°C
31%
23°C
2%
24℃
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C以上
<1%
21℃ 42%
22°C 31%
20°C 22%
19℃ 4%
$19,101 Vol.
$19,101 Vol.
17℃以下
<1%
18°C
1%
19℃
4%
20°C
22%
21℃
42%
22°C
31%
23°C
2%
24℃
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a moderate high of 20–21°C for Amsterdam on August 6, driven by westerly flow, moderate breeze, and sunny intervals under stable high-pressure influence. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 21°C (41.5%) and 22°C (30.5%), reflecting ensemble consensus on limited daytime heating amid typical North Sea maritime air. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide climatological context, while recent model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, reducing uncertainty for this near-term resolution. Traders weigh the narrow probability spread around these values against minor risks of localized warming if cloud cover decreases more than expected.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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