Current forecast models from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global ensembles such as GFS and ECMWF point to a maximum temperature in Karachi on August 6 between 32–34°C, shaped by typical August monsoon dynamics including elevated humidity, potential cloud cover, and moderating sea breezes from the Arabian Sea that limit extreme daytime heating. These conditions align with seasonal baselines and recent observations showing no major heat anomalies or clear-sky intensification, supporting the market's leading 33°C outcome at 51% implied probability. Traders await the next model updates and official guidance within the 24–48 hour window, as minor shifts in precipitation or wind could adjust the range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のカラチの最高気温は?
33℃ 52%
32°C 31%
34°C 15%
31℃ 5%
27℃以下
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃
1%
31℃
5%
32°C
31%
33℃
52%
34°C
15%
35°C
2%
36℃
1%
37°C以上
1%
33℃ 52%
32°C 31%
34°C 15%
31℃ 5%
27℃以下
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃
1%
31℃
5%
32°C
31%
33℃
52%
34°C
15%
35°C
2%
36℃
1%
37°C以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global ensembles such as GFS and ECMWF point to a maximum temperature in Karachi on August 6 between 32–34°C, shaped by typical August monsoon dynamics including elevated humidity, potential cloud cover, and moderating sea breezes from the Arabian Sea that limit extreme daytime heating. These conditions align with seasonal baselines and recent observations showing no major heat anomalies or clear-sky intensification, supporting the market's leading 33°C outcome at 51% implied probability. Traders await the next model updates and official guidance within the 24–48 hour window, as minor shifts in precipitation or wind could adjust the range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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