Recent India Meteorological Department outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Lucknow indicate persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover moderating daytime heating ahead of August 6, supporting the clustered market-implied probabilities around 29–31 °C. Light to moderate showers expected over the next 48 hours should limit peak temperatures near the seasonal monsoon average, while any breaks in rainfall or stronger insolation could allow brief climbs toward 32 °C. High humidity and variable steering winds introduce short-term uncertainty in exact maxima, explaining the tight spread among leading outcomes as traders weigh the latest model runs and regional rainfall patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のラクナウの最高気温は?
29°C 28%
31°C 26%
30°C 25%
28°C 12%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
12%
29°C
28%
30°C
25%
31°C
26%
32°C or higher
12%
29°C 28%
31°C 26%
30°C 25%
28°C 12%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
12%
29°C
28%
30°C
25%
31°C
26%
32°C or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent India Meteorological Department outlooks and ensemble model guidance for Lucknow indicate persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover moderating daytime heating ahead of August 6, supporting the clustered market-implied probabilities around 29–31 °C. Light to moderate showers expected over the next 48 hours should limit peak temperatures near the seasonal monsoon average, while any breaks in rainfall or stronger insolation could allow brief climbs toward 32 °C. High humidity and variable steering winds introduce short-term uncertainty in exact maxima, explaining the tight spread among leading outcomes as traders weigh the latest model runs and regional rainfall patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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