Persistent heat wave conditions and elevated humidity across South Korea are anchoring trader sentiment for Seoul (Incheon) overnight lows on August 6 near 27–29°C, with the 28°C outcome leading at 32.5% implied probability. The Korea Meteorological Administration continues issuing heat advisories, limiting radiative cooling and sustaining nighttime readings several degrees above the long-term August average low of roughly 23°C. Regional forecast models show broad consensus on this range through the period, though typical 1–2°C uncertainty in short-range guidance and potential shifts in steering patterns or precipitation could favor 26°C or 30°C outcomes. KMA short-term updates over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to refine market positioning ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のソウル(仁川)の最低気温は?
28°C 33%
27℃ 23%
29℃ 19%
26°C 11%
23℃以下
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
11%
27℃
28%
28°C
34%
29℃
19%
30℃
10%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33℃以上
1%
28°C 33%
27℃ 23%
29℃ 19%
26°C 11%
23℃以下
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
11%
27℃
28%
28°C
34%
29℃
19%
30℃
10%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent heat wave conditions and elevated humidity across South Korea are anchoring trader sentiment for Seoul (Incheon) overnight lows on August 6 near 27–29°C, with the 28°C outcome leading at 32.5% implied probability. The Korea Meteorological Administration continues issuing heat advisories, limiting radiative cooling and sustaining nighttime readings several degrees above the long-term August average low of roughly 23°C. Regional forecast models show broad consensus on this range through the period, though typical 1–2°C uncertainty in short-range guidance and potential shifts in steering patterns or precipitation could favor 26°C or 30°C outcomes. KMA short-term updates over the next 48 hours represent the key data releases likely to refine market positioning ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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