Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a 34°C high for Taipei on August 6 under persistent subtropical high pressure, with partly cloudy conditions and limited afternoon convection expected to moderate peak heating. Ensemble model consensus shows modest spread around this value, as urban heat island effects and boundary-layer moisture could add 1–2°C locally while increased cloud cover or showers might cap temperatures near 33°C. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima at 32–34°C, providing context for why trader-implied odds cluster tightly between 34°C and 36°C. Updated CWA guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key data points likely to shift probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日の台北の最高気温は？
8月6日の台北の最高気温は？
35°C 31%
36°C 26%
34°C 19%
33°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
6%
33°C
11%
34°C
19%
35°C
31%
36°C
26%
37°C
6%
38°C or higher
7%
35°C 31%
36°C 26%
34°C 19%
33°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/06
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$35 Vol.
4%
32°C
$13 Vol.
6%
33°C
$2 Vol.
11%
34°C
$0 Vol.
19%
35°C
$51 Vol.
31%
36°C
$47 Vol.
26%
37°C
$8 Vol.
6%
38°C or higher
$10 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a 34°C high for Taipei on August 6 under persistent subtropical high pressure, with partly cloudy conditions and limited afternoon convection expected to moderate peak heating. Ensemble model consensus shows modest spread around this value, as urban heat island effects and boundary-layer moisture could add 1–2°C locally while increased cloud cover or showers might cap temperatures near 33°C. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima at 32–34°C, providing context for why trader-implied odds cluster tightly between 34°C and 36°C. Updated CWA guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key data points likely to shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$165終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a 34°C high for Taipei on August 6 under persistent subtropical high pressure, with partly cloudy conditions and limited afternoon convection expected to moderate peak heating. Ensemble model consensus shows modest spread around this value, as urban heat island effects and boundary-layer moisture could add 1–2°C locally while increased cloud cover or showers might cap temperatures near 33°C. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima at 32–34°C, providing context for why trader-implied odds cluster tightly between 34°C and 36°C. Updated CWA guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key data points likely to shift probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$165終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETOfficial forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a 34°C high for Taipei on August 6 under persistent subtropical high pressure, with partly cloudy conditions and limited afternoon convection expected to moderate peak heating. Ensemble model consensus shows modest spread around this value, as urban heat island effects and boundary-layer moisture could add 1–2°C locally while increased cloud cover or showers might cap temperatures near 33°C. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima at 32–34°C, providing context for why trader-implied odds cluster tightly between 34°C and 36°C. Updated CWA guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key data points likely to shift probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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