Trader consensus shows tight clustering around 34–36°C for Beijing’s August 5 maximum, reflecting ensemble model spreads from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the western Pacific subtropical high, which favors clear skies and strong solar heating, alongside boundary-layer moisture and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. Recent 48-hour runs indicate modest upward revisions in daytime peaks due to reduced cloud cover, yet small timing differences in a weak frontal passage could cap readings at 34°C or push them to 37°C. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 31–33°C, underscoring how the current setup sits above baseline. Updated 12-km model output expected later today will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日の北京の最高気温は？
8月5日の北京の最高気温は？
35°C 33%
36°C 28%
34°C 18%
37°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/05
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
7%
34°C
18%
35°C
33%
36°C
28%
37°C
14%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 33%
36°C 28%
34°C 18%
37°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/05
29°C or below
$118 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$12 Vol.
1%
31°C
$112 Vol.
2%
32°C
$150 Vol.
4%
33°C
$127 Vol.
7%
34°C
$84 Vol.
18%
35°C
$155 Vol.
33%
36°C
$166 Vol.
28%
37°C
$145 Vol.
14%
38°C
$120 Vol.
3%
39°C or higher
$3 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows tight clustering around 34–36°C for Beijing’s August 5 maximum, reflecting ensemble model spreads from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the western Pacific subtropical high, which favors clear skies and strong solar heating, alongside boundary-layer moisture and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. Recent 48-hour runs indicate modest upward revisions in daytime peaks due to reduced cloud cover, yet small timing differences in a weak frontal passage could cap readings at 34°C or push them to 37°C. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 31–33°C, underscoring how the current setup sits above baseline. Updated 12-km model output expected later today will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
音量
$1,192終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows tight clustering around 34–36°C for Beijing’s August 5 maximum, reflecting ensemble model spreads from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the western Pacific subtropical high, which favors clear skies and strong solar heating, alongside boundary-layer moisture and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. Recent 48-hour runs indicate modest upward revisions in daytime peaks due to reduced cloud cover, yet small timing differences in a weak frontal passage could cap readings at 34°C or push them to 37°C. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 31–33°C, underscoring how the current setup sits above baseline. Updated 12-km model output expected later today will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,192終了日
2026/08/05マーケット開始日
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETTrader consensus shows tight clustering around 34–36°C for Beijing’s August 5 maximum, reflecting ensemble model spreads from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the western Pacific subtropical high, which favors clear skies and strong solar heating, alongside boundary-layer moisture and light winds that limit nocturnal cooling. Recent 48-hour runs indicate modest upward revisions in daytime peaks due to reduced cloud cover, yet small timing differences in a weak frontal passage could cap readings at 34°C or push them to 37°C. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 31–33°C, underscoring how the current setup sits above baseline. Updated 12-km model output expected later today will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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