Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate Taipei highs around 33–36°C for August 3, 2026, aligning with the Central Weather Administration’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-average summer temperatures after a wet June. Subtropical conditions feature intense solar insolation, high humidity that reduces nocturnal cooling, and urban heat island effects amplifying daytime peaks, while afternoon convection or scattered showers can cap extremes. Model consensus on steering patterns and cloud cover creates tight uncertainty between 36°C and 37°C outcomes, with traders weighting recent dry-trending signals and historical August maxima near 34–35°C. Updated CWA guidance and ensemble runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月3日の台北の最高気温は?
37°C 37%
36°C 34%
35°C 15%
38°C 12%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
11%
35°C
15%
36°C
34%
37°C
37%
38°C
12%
39°C
3%
40℃以上
6%
37°C 37%
36°C 34%
35°C 15%
38°C 12%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
4%
34°C
11%
35°C
15%
36°C
34%
37°C
37%
38°C
12%
39°C
3%
40℃以上
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate Taipei highs around 33–36°C for August 3, 2026, aligning with the Central Weather Administration’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-average summer temperatures after a wet June. Subtropical conditions feature intense solar insolation, high humidity that reduces nocturnal cooling, and urban heat island effects amplifying daytime peaks, while afternoon convection or scattered showers can cap extremes. Model consensus on steering patterns and cloud cover creates tight uncertainty between 36°C and 37°C outcomes, with traders weighting recent dry-trending signals and historical August maxima near 34–35°C. Updated CWA guidance and ensemble runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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