Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models, including Met Office and BBC guidance, indicate a warming trend into the weekend under largely sunny skies with light winds, positioning 30–31°C as the most probable daily maximum for Paris on August 8. This aligns with current atmospheric conditions favoring clear skies and daytime heating after earlier unsettled weather, consistent with typical early-August patterns where highs average 25–28°C but can reach the low 30s under high pressure. Ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact peaks, supporting the market's concentration on 30°C (47.5%) and 31°C (31.5%) while assigning lower odds to outliers like 32°C or above. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly refinements to steering patterns and cloud cover, will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月8日のパリの最高気温は？
8月8日のパリの最高気温は？
30°C 47%
31°C 32%
29°C 13%
32°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/08
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
13%
30°C
47%
31°C
32%
32°C
9%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 47%
31°C 32%
29°C 13%
32°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/08
25°C or below
$44 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$34 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$89 Vol.
4%
29°C
$82 Vol.
13%
30°C
$530 Vol.
47%
31°C
$142 Vol.
32%
32°C
$104 Vol.
9%
33°C
$40 Vol.
3%
34°C
$57 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$87 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models, including Met Office and BBC guidance, indicate a warming trend into the weekend under largely sunny skies with light winds, positioning 30–31°C as the most probable daily maximum for Paris on August 8. This aligns with current atmospheric conditions favoring clear skies and daytime heating after earlier unsettled weather, consistent with typical early-August patterns where highs average 25–28°C but can reach the low 30s under high pressure. Ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact peaks, supporting the market's concentration on 30°C (47.5%) and 31°C (31.5%) while assigning lower odds to outliers like 32°C or above. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly refinements to steering patterns and cloud cover, will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
音量
$1,275終了日
2026/08/08マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models, including Met Office and BBC guidance, indicate a warming trend into the weekend under largely sunny skies with light winds, positioning 30–31°C as the most probable daily maximum for Paris on August 8. This aligns with current atmospheric conditions favoring clear skies and daytime heating after earlier unsettled weather, consistent with typical early-August patterns where highs average 25–28°C but can reach the low 30s under high pressure. Ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact peaks, supporting the market's concentration on 30°C (47.5%) and 31°C (31.5%) while assigning lower odds to outliers like 32°C or above. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly refinements to steering patterns and cloud cover, will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,275終了日
2026/08/08マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETRecent official forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models, including Met Office and BBC guidance, indicate a warming trend into the weekend under largely sunny skies with light winds, positioning 30–31°C as the most probable daily maximum for Paris on August 8. This aligns with current atmospheric conditions favoring clear skies and daytime heating after earlier unsettled weather, consistent with typical early-August patterns where highs average 25–28°C but can reach the low 30s under high pressure. Ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around exact peaks, supporting the market's concentration on 30°C (47.5%) and 31°C (31.5%) while assigning lower odds to outliers like 32°C or above. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly refinements to steering patterns and cloud cover, will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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