Recent forecasts from Météo-France, the authoritative French meteorological service, indicate a cooldown in the Île-de-France region ahead of August 7, 2026, following earlier summer heat. Models project largely sunny conditions with afternoon maxima near 25–26°C under moderate southwesterly flow, reflecting cooler Atlantic air advection and reduced subsidence compared with late-July peaks. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, though minor variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could nudge readings up or down by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology for Paris centers near 24–25°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26–28°C outcomes while discounting extremes above 29°C or below 25°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日のパリの最高気温は？
8月7日のパリの最高気温は？
27°C 49%
28°C 27%
26°C 19%
25°C 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
19%
27°C
49%
28°C
27%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 49%
28°C 27%
26°C 19%
25°C 5%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
23°C or below
$374 Vol.
1%
24°C
$55 Vol.
1%
25°C
$95 Vol.
5%
26°C
$39 Vol.
19%
27°C
$384 Vol.
49%
28°C
$108 Vol.
27%
29°C
$75 Vol.
5%
30°C
$26 Vol.
2%
31°C
$40 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$42 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$80 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France, the authoritative French meteorological service, indicate a cooldown in the Île-de-France region ahead of August 7, 2026, following earlier summer heat. Models project largely sunny conditions with afternoon maxima near 25–26°C under moderate southwesterly flow, reflecting cooler Atlantic air advection and reduced subsidence compared with late-July peaks. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, though minor variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could nudge readings up or down by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology for Paris centers near 24–25°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26–28°C outcomes while discounting extremes above 29°C or below 25°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$1,318終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France, the authoritative French meteorological service, indicate a cooldown in the Île-de-France region ahead of August 7, 2026, following earlier summer heat. Models project largely sunny conditions with afternoon maxima near 25–26°C under moderate southwesterly flow, reflecting cooler Atlantic air advection and reduced subsidence compared with late-July peaks. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, though minor variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could nudge readings up or down by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology for Paris centers near 24–25°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26–28°C outcomes while discounting extremes above 29°C or below 25°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,318終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent forecasts from Météo-France, the authoritative French meteorological service, indicate a cooldown in the Île-de-France region ahead of August 7, 2026, following earlier summer heat. Models project largely sunny conditions with afternoon maxima near 25–26°C under moderate southwesterly flow, reflecting cooler Atlantic air advection and reduced subsidence compared with late-July peaks. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, though minor variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could nudge readings up or down by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology for Paris centers near 24–25°C, providing context for why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 26–28°C outcomes while discounting extremes above 29°C or below 25°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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