Official forecasts from MetService and international agencies project a maximum near 10°C for Wellington on August 6, driven by a southerly airstream bringing cooler maritime air after recent showers, with clearing skies and moderate winds limiting daytime warming. This aligns with seasonal norms of 12°C but reflects below-average conditions tied to current pressure patterns. Trader positioning, with 11°C at 52.5% implied probability ahead of 10°C at 38%, likely incorporates minor model spread and potential for localized warming under partial sun, while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal given tight forecast consensus and typical daily variability of 1–2°C. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine exact resolution thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
8月6日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
11°C 53%
10°C 38%
12°C 9%
9°C 3%
新規
$26,020 Vol.
新規
$26,020 Vol.
2026/08/06
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
3%
10°C
38%
11°C
53%
12°C
9%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 53%
10°C 38%
12°C 9%
9°C 3%
新規
$26,020 Vol.
新規
$26,020 Vol.
2026/08/06
5°C or below
$373 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$353 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$581 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$2,113 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$3,177 Vol.
3%
10°C
$4,280 Vol.
38%
11°C
$5,357 Vol.
53%
12°C
$4,751 Vol.
9%
13°C
$3,387 Vol.
1%
14°C
$577 Vol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$1,071 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and international agencies project a maximum near 10°C for Wellington on August 6, driven by a southerly airstream bringing cooler maritime air after recent showers, with clearing skies and moderate winds limiting daytime warming. This aligns with seasonal norms of 12°C but reflects below-average conditions tied to current pressure patterns. Trader positioning, with 11°C at 52.5% implied probability ahead of 10°C at 38%, likely incorporates minor model spread and potential for localized warming under partial sun, while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal given tight forecast consensus and typical daily variability of 1–2°C. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine exact resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
音量
$26,020終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and international agencies project a maximum near 10°C for Wellington on August 6, driven by a southerly airstream bringing cooler maritime air after recent showers, with clearing skies and moderate winds limiting daytime warming. This aligns with seasonal norms of 12°C but reflects below-average conditions tied to current pressure patterns. Trader positioning, with 11°C at 52.5% implied probability ahead of 10°C at 38%, likely incorporates minor model spread and potential for localized warming under partial sun, while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal given tight forecast consensus and typical daily variability of 1–2°C. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine exact resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$26,020終了日
2026/08/06マーケット開始日
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETOfficial forecasts from MetService and international agencies project a maximum near 10°C for Wellington on August 6, driven by a southerly airstream bringing cooler maritime air after recent showers, with clearing skies and moderate winds limiting daytime warming. This aligns with seasonal norms of 12°C but reflects below-average conditions tied to current pressure patterns. Trader positioning, with 11°C at 52.5% implied probability ahead of 10°C at 38%, likely incorporates minor model spread and potential for localized warming under partial sun, while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal given tight forecast consensus and typical daily variability of 1–2°C. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine exact resolution thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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