Latest weather model consensus from New Zealand MetService and international guidance points to a maximum temperature near 13°C in Wellington on August 7, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions under a weak high-pressure system with light northerly flow moderating temperatures above seasonal averages around 11–12°C. Recent ensemble runs show limited spread, with southerly winds or clearer skies potentially trimming the high by 1°C while any delayed frontal passage could push readings to 14°C. Traders appear to be weighting these stable atmospheric patterns heavily, consistent with historical August maxima near the capital and current sea-surface temperatures supporting mild anomalies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
8月7日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
13°C 57%
12°C 25%
14°C 17%
11°C 3%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
7°C or below
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
25%
13°C
57%
14°C
17%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
1%
13°C 57%
12°C 25%
14°C 17%
11°C 3%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
7°C or below
$397 Vol.
1%
8°C
$150 Vol.
1%
9°C
$106 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$103 Vol.
1%
11°C
$178 Vol.
3%
12°C
$205 Vol.
25%
13°C
$232 Vol.
57%
14°C
$234 Vol.
17%
15°C
$93 Vol.
3%
16°C
$10 Vol.
2%
17°C or higher
$100 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest weather model consensus from New Zealand MetService and international guidance points to a maximum temperature near 13°C in Wellington on August 7, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions under a weak high-pressure system with light northerly flow moderating temperatures above seasonal averages around 11–12°C. Recent ensemble runs show limited spread, with southerly winds or clearer skies potentially trimming the high by 1°C while any delayed frontal passage could push readings to 14°C. Traders appear to be weighting these stable atmospheric patterns heavily, consistent with historical August maxima near the capital and current sea-surface temperatures supporting mild anomalies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$1,809終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest weather model consensus from New Zealand MetService and international guidance points to a maximum temperature near 13°C in Wellington on August 7, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions under a weak high-pressure system with light northerly flow moderating temperatures above seasonal averages around 11–12°C. Recent ensemble runs show limited spread, with southerly winds or clearer skies potentially trimming the high by 1°C while any delayed frontal passage could push readings to 14°C. Traders appear to be weighting these stable atmospheric patterns heavily, consistent with historical August maxima near the capital and current sea-surface temperatures supporting mild anomalies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,809終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETLatest weather model consensus from New Zealand MetService and international guidance points to a maximum temperature near 13°C in Wellington on August 7, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions under a weak high-pressure system with light northerly flow moderating temperatures above seasonal averages around 11–12°C. Recent ensemble runs show limited spread, with southerly winds or clearer skies potentially trimming the high by 1°C while any delayed frontal passage could push readings to 14°C. Traders appear to be weighting these stable atmospheric patterns heavily, consistent with historical August maxima near the capital and current sea-surface temperatures supporting mild anomalies.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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