Traders have converged on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 8 because official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded exactly that overnight low amid typical summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and a stable subtropical ridge kept temperatures from dropping further, consistent with climatological averages for early August where nighttime minima usually range 26–28°C. With the trading day now past and data verified, the 100% implied probability reflects near-certain resolution at this threshold. Only an unprecedented revision in official station readings or redefinition of the measurement window could alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月8日の香港の最低気温は?
28℃ 100.0%
22°C以下 <1%
23℃ <1%
24°C <1%
$101,520 Vol.
$101,520 Vol.
22°C以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24°C
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
100%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32°C以上
<1%
28℃ 100.0%
22°C以下 <1%
23℃ <1%
24°C <1%
$101,520 Vol.
$101,520 Vol.
22°C以下
<1%
23℃
<1%
24°C
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃
<1%
27°C
<1%
28℃
100%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on a 28°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 8 because official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded exactly that overnight low amid typical summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, light winds, and a stable subtropical ridge kept temperatures from dropping further, consistent with climatological averages for early August where nighttime minima usually range 26–28°C. With the trading day now past and data verified, the 100% implied probability reflects near-certain resolution at this threshold. Only an unprecedented revision in official station readings or redefinition of the measurement window could alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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