Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and others project a high of 33–35 °C for Guangzhou on September 26 under partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation and light southerly winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36 °C. These values sit above the late-September climatological average of roughly 31 °C, reflecting persistent warm advection and strong daytime insolation with low cloud cover. Model consensus on peak timing and exact maximum remains sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any brief convective activity, while historical records show occasional 36–37 °C spikes under similar patterns. Updated runs from major centers on September 25 will provide the final guidance before official observations determine the market outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月26日の広州の最高気温は？
9月26日の広州の最高気温は？
35℃ 27%
36℃ 26%
33℃ 24%
34℃ 24%
新規
新規
2026/09/26
28℃以下
<1%
29℃
2%
30℃
4%
31℃
4%
32°C
14%
33℃
24%
34℃
24%
35℃
27%
36℃
26%
37℃
19%
38℃以上
<1%
35℃ 27%
36℃ 26%
33℃ 24%
34℃ 24%
新規
新規
2026/09/26
28℃以下
$150 Vol.
<1%
29℃
$0 Vol.
2%
30℃
$0 Vol.
4%
31℃
$0 Vol.
4%
32°C
$0 Vol.
14%
33℃
$6 Vol.
24%
34℃
$0 Vol.
24%
35℃
$0 Vol.
27%
36℃
$13 Vol.
26%
37℃
$6 Vol.
19%
38℃以上
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and others project a high of 33–35 °C for Guangzhou on September 26 under partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation and light southerly winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36 °C. These values sit above the late-September climatological average of roughly 31 °C, reflecting persistent warm advection and strong daytime insolation with low cloud cover. Model consensus on peak timing and exact maximum remains sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any brief convective activity, while historical records show occasional 36–37 °C spikes under similar patterns. Updated runs from major centers on September 25 will provide the final guidance before official observations determine the market outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$174終了日
2026/09/26マーケット開始日
Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including ECMWF and others project a high of 33–35 °C for Guangzhou on September 26 under partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation and light southerly winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36 °C. These values sit above the late-September climatological average of roughly 31 °C, reflecting persistent warm advection and strong daytime insolation with low cloud cover. Model consensus on peak timing and exact maximum remains sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any brief convective activity, while historical records show occasional 36–37 °C spikes under similar patterns. Updated runs from major centers on September 25 will provide the final guidance before official observations determine the market outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$174終了日
2026/09/26マーケット開始日
Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecasts from models including ECMWF and others project a high of 33–35 °C for Guangzhou on September 26 under partly cloudy skies with minimal precipitation and light southerly winds, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 34–36 °C. These values sit above the late-September climatological average of roughly 31 °C, reflecting persistent warm advection and strong daytime insolation with low cloud cover. Model consensus on peak timing and exact maximum remains sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any brief convective activity, while historical records show occasional 36–37 °C spikes under similar patterns. Updated runs from major centers on September 25 will provide the final guidance before official observations determine the market outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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