Recent rainfall patterns across Chongqing, including widespread small to moderate precipitation and localized heavy downpours through September 22–23, have introduced substantial uncertainty into temperature forecasts for the 24th. Persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from saturated soils are suppressing daytime maxima, while model runs diverge on the timing of any clearing that could allow stronger solar heating. Historical September averages near 28–29 °C provide context, yet current conditions favor outcomes clustered around the mid-20s °C, with the near-even market-implied odds between 31 °C or higher and 21 °C or below reflecting genuine variability in steering patterns and moisture transport over the next 48 hours. Updated numerical guidance and official Chongqing Meteorological Observatory briefings will be key catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月24日の重慶の最高気温は?
21℃以下 70%
31℃以上 50%
22°C 39%
23℃ 39%
21℃以下
70%
22°C
39%
23℃
39%
24℃
22%
25℃
22%
26℃
24%
27℃
22%
28°C
39%
29℃
39%
30℃
39%
31℃以上
50%
21℃以下 70%
31℃以上 50%
22°C 39%
23℃ 39%
21℃以下
70%
22°C
39%
23℃
39%
24℃
22%
25℃
22%
26℃
24%
27℃
22%
28°C
39%
29℃
39%
30℃
39%
31℃以上
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent rainfall patterns across Chongqing, including widespread small to moderate precipitation and localized heavy downpours through September 22–23, have introduced substantial uncertainty into temperature forecasts for the 24th. Persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from saturated soils are suppressing daytime maxima, while model runs diverge on the timing of any clearing that could allow stronger solar heating. Historical September averages near 28–29 °C provide context, yet current conditions favor outcomes clustered around the mid-20s °C, with the near-even market-implied odds between 31 °C or higher and 21 °C or below reflecting genuine variability in steering patterns and moisture transport over the next 48 hours. Updated numerical guidance and official Chongqing Meteorological Observatory briefings will be key catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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