Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a maximum temperature near 26°C in coastal Qingdao on September 26, driving the market's strongest implied probability at that level. Seasonal transition into autumn, combined with moderating sea surface temperatures in the Yellow Sea and typical onshore flow, supports daytime highs in the mid-20s Celsius rather than summer peaks. Ensemble runs show limited spread, with minor variations tied to cloud cover or weak frontal passages that could nudge readings one degree higher or lower. Updated model guidance over the past 48 hours has reinforced this narrow range, though final adjustments from short-range forecasts remain possible before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月26日の青島の最高気温は？
9月26日の青島の最高気温は？
26℃ 38%
27℃ 24%
25°C 23%
24℃ 22%
新規
新規
2026/09/26
21℃以下
3%
22℃
4%
23℃
4%
24℃
22%
25°C
23%
26℃
38%
27℃
24%
28℃
13%
29℃
9%
30℃
5%
31℃以上
21%
26℃ 38%
27℃ 24%
25°C 23%
24℃ 22%
新規
新規
2026/09/26
21℃以下
$0 Vol.
3%
22℃
$0 Vol.
4%
23℃
$0 Vol.
4%
24℃
$0 Vol.
22%
25°C
$0 Vol.
23%
26℃
$34 Vol.
38%
27℃
$0 Vol.
24%
28℃
$5 Vol.
13%
29℃
$0 Vol.
9%
30℃
$0 Vol.
5%
31℃以上
$0 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a maximum temperature near 26°C in coastal Qingdao on September 26, driving the market's strongest implied probability at that level. Seasonal transition into autumn, combined with moderating sea surface temperatures in the Yellow Sea and typical onshore flow, supports daytime highs in the mid-20s Celsius rather than summer peaks. Ensemble runs show limited spread, with minor variations tied to cloud cover or weak frontal passages that could nudge readings one degree higher or lower. Updated model guidance over the past 48 hours has reinforced this narrow range, though final adjustments from short-range forecasts remain possible before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$39終了日
2026/09/26マーケット開始日
Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a maximum temperature near 26°C in coastal Qingdao on September 26, driving the market's strongest implied probability at that level. Seasonal transition into autumn, combined with moderating sea surface temperatures in the Yellow Sea and typical onshore flow, supports daytime highs in the mid-20s Celsius rather than summer peaks. Ensemble runs show limited spread, with minor variations tied to cloud cover or weak frontal passages that could nudge readings one degree higher or lower. Updated model guidance over the past 48 hours has reinforced this narrow range, though final adjustments from short-range forecasts remain possible before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$39終了日
2026/09/26マーケット開始日
Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a maximum temperature near 26°C in coastal Qingdao on September 26, driving the market's strongest implied probability at that level. Seasonal transition into autumn, combined with moderating sea surface temperatures in the Yellow Sea and typical onshore flow, supports daytime highs in the mid-20s Celsius rather than summer peaks. Ensemble runs show limited spread, with minor variations tied to cloud cover or weak frontal passages that could nudge readings one degree higher or lower. Updated model guidance over the past 48 hours has reinforced this narrow range, though final adjustments from short-range forecasts remain possible before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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