Forecast models from European centers show Munich under a ridge of high pressure on August 8, promoting clear skies, light easterly winds, and strong daytime insolation that support daily maxima near 29–30 °C—roughly 5–7 °C above the early-August climatological mean of ~23 °C. Ensemble guidance exhibits tight clustering around these values, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective development. The market’s near-even split between the 29 °C and 30 °C bins, alongside smaller probabilities for 31 °C, reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes and the resolution criterion based on official station observations. Updated runs overnight and early on the 8th will further tighten or shift the distribution ahead of measurement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月8日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
30°C 39%
29°C 33%
31°C 20%
28°C 6%
$13,115 Vol.
$13,115 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
33%
30°C
39%
31°C
20%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 39%
29°C 33%
31°C 20%
28°C 6%
$13,115 Vol.
$13,115 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
33%
30°C
39%
31°C
20%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from European centers show Munich under a ridge of high pressure on August 8, promoting clear skies, light easterly winds, and strong daytime insolation that support daily maxima near 29–30 °C—roughly 5–7 °C above the early-August climatological mean of ~23 °C. Ensemble guidance exhibits tight clustering around these values, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective development. The market’s near-even split between the 29 °C and 30 °C bins, alongside smaller probabilities for 31 °C, reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes and the resolution criterion based on official station observations. Updated runs overnight and early on the 8th will further tighten or shift the distribution ahead of measurement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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