Ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and KNMI currently position Amsterdam's August 8 maximum near 26°C, driving the market's tight clustering around 25–27°C outcomes. A modest warm anomaly relative to the 21–22°C August climatology stems from southerly or southeasterly flow advecting continental air, partially offset by North Sea breezes and variable cloud cover that limit peak insolation. Recent model runs show limited spread, with differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any frontal passage determining whether daytime peaks reach 27°C or settle at 25°C. Updated ECMWF and KNMI guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution based on official station maxima.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月8日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
8月8日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
26°C 36%
25°C 34%
27℃ 26%
24°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/08
21°C以下
1%
22°C
1%
23℃
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
26%
26°C
36%
27℃
26%
28℃
6%
29℃
3%
30℃
2%
31°C以上
<1%
26°C 36%
25°C 34%
27℃ 26%
24°C 8%
新規
新規
2026/08/08
21°C以下
$10 Vol.
1%
22°C
$43 Vol.
1%
23℃
$10 Vol.
2%
24°C
$231 Vol.
8%
25°C
$118 Vol.
26%
26°C
$19 Vol.
36%
27℃
$20 Vol.
26%
28℃
$0 Vol.
6%
29℃
$19 Vol.
3%
30℃
$27 Vol.
2%
31°C以上
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and KNMI currently position Amsterdam's August 8 maximum near 26°C, driving the market's tight clustering around 25–27°C outcomes. A modest warm anomaly relative to the 21–22°C August climatology stems from southerly or southeasterly flow advecting continental air, partially offset by North Sea breezes and variable cloud cover that limit peak insolation. Recent model runs show limited spread, with differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any frontal passage determining whether daytime peaks reach 27°C or settle at 25°C. Updated ECMWF and KNMI guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution based on official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
音量
$508終了日
2026/08/08マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and KNMI currently position Amsterdam's August 8 maximum near 26°C, driving the market's tight clustering around 25–27°C outcomes. A modest warm anomaly relative to the 21–22°C August climatology stems from southerly or southeasterly flow advecting continental air, partially offset by North Sea breezes and variable cloud cover that limit peak insolation. Recent model runs show limited spread, with differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any frontal passage determining whether daytime peaks reach 27°C or settle at 25°C. Updated ECMWF and KNMI guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution based on official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$508終了日
2026/08/08マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETEnsemble forecasts from the ECMWF and KNMI currently position Amsterdam's August 8 maximum near 26°C, driving the market's tight clustering around 25–27°C outcomes. A modest warm anomaly relative to the 21–22°C August climatology stems from southerly or southeasterly flow advecting continental air, partially offset by North Sea breezes and variable cloud cover that limit peak insolation. Recent model runs show limited spread, with differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any frontal passage determining whether daytime peaks reach 27°C or settle at 25°C. Updated ECMWF and KNMI guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution based on official station maxima.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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