Chongqing's subtropical climate, with its typical August peak highs near 34°C driven by persistent high pressure and urban heat retention, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–34°C. Recent seasonal outlooks from monitoring agencies indicate above-normal temperatures across southern China through early August, tempered by frequent monsoon moisture that can suppress daily maxima via cloud cover or brief showers. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability from steering patterns and humidity levels exceeding 70%, creating genuine uncertainty that favors the closely matched leading outcomes over extremes. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data in the coming days will likely refine these probabilities further.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月6日の重慶の最高気温は?
33°C 36%
34°C 28%
32°C 15%
35°C 14%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
15%
33°C
36%
34°C
28%
35°C
14%
36°C
5%
37℃以上
1%
33°C 36%
34°C 28%
32°C 15%
35°C 14%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
15%
33°C
36%
34°C
28%
35°C
14%
36°C
5%
37℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Chongqing's subtropical climate, with its typical August peak highs near 34°C driven by persistent high pressure and urban heat retention, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–34°C. Recent seasonal outlooks from monitoring agencies indicate above-normal temperatures across southern China through early August, tempered by frequent monsoon moisture that can suppress daily maxima via cloud cover or brief showers. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability from steering patterns and humidity levels exceeding 70%, creating genuine uncertainty that favors the closely matched leading outcomes over extremes. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data in the coming days will likely refine these probabilities further.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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