Official forecasts indicate a maximum near 16–17°C for Cape Town on August 8, driven by an approaching cold front that will limit daytime heating and introduce light showers or increased cloud cover. This aligns closely with the market’s concentration on 17°C and 18°C outcomes. Southern Hemisphere winter climatology typically produces August highs around 17°C in Cape Town, and current model consensus from AccuWeather and regional guidance shows only modest deviations from these seasonal norms. Recent northerly flow ahead of the front has kept conditions mild, but the shift to cooler southwesterly winds is expected to cap temperatures. Updated SAWS guidance and refined model runs over the next 24 hours represent the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月8日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
8月8日のケープタウンの最高気温は？
17°C 46%
18℃ 39%
16℃ 12%
19°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/08
11℃以下
<1%
12℃
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16℃
12%
17°C
46%
18℃
39%
19°C
7%
20°C
2%
21°C以上
1%
17°C 46%
18℃ 39%
16℃ 12%
19°C 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/08
11℃以下
$56 Vol.
<1%
12℃
$220 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$787 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$614 Vol.
1%
15°C
$252 Vol.
2%
16℃
$739 Vol.
12%
17°C
$2,106 Vol.
46%
18℃
$620 Vol.
39%
19°C
$628 Vol.
7%
20°C
$410 Vol.
2%
21°C以上
$452 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts indicate a maximum near 16–17°C for Cape Town on August 8, driven by an approaching cold front that will limit daytime heating and introduce light showers or increased cloud cover. This aligns closely with the market’s concentration on 17°C and 18°C outcomes. Southern Hemisphere winter climatology typically produces August highs around 17°C in Cape Town, and current model consensus from AccuWeather and regional guidance shows only modest deviations from these seasonal norms. Recent northerly flow ahead of the front has kept conditions mild, but the shift to cooler southwesterly winds is expected to cap temperatures. Updated SAWS guidance and refined model runs over the next 24 hours represent the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
音量
$6,884終了日
2026/08/08マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts indicate a maximum near 16–17°C for Cape Town on August 8, driven by an approaching cold front that will limit daytime heating and introduce light showers or increased cloud cover. This aligns closely with the market’s concentration on 17°C and 18°C outcomes. Southern Hemisphere winter climatology typically produces August highs around 17°C in Cape Town, and current model consensus from AccuWeather and regional guidance shows only modest deviations from these seasonal norms. Recent northerly flow ahead of the front has kept conditions mild, but the shift to cooler southwesterly winds is expected to cap temperatures. Updated SAWS guidance and refined model runs over the next 24 hours represent the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,884終了日
2026/08/08マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETOfficial forecasts indicate a maximum near 16–17°C for Cape Town on August 8, driven by an approaching cold front that will limit daytime heating and introduce light showers or increased cloud cover. This aligns closely with the market’s concentration on 17°C and 18°C outcomes. Southern Hemisphere winter climatology typically produces August highs around 17°C in Cape Town, and current model consensus from AccuWeather and regional guidance shows only modest deviations from these seasonal norms. Recent northerly flow ahead of the front has kept conditions mild, but the shift to cooler southwesterly winds is expected to cap temperatures. Updated SAWS guidance and refined model runs over the next 24 hours represent the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in implied probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問