**Latest high-resolution ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, alongside the official BBC outlook, indicate a daytime maximum near 34°C for Milan on August 7, with light rain showers and light northeasterly winds expected to moderate peak values.** Recent heatwave conditions (37°C on August 4–6) under subtropical high pressure have set a warm baseline, but increasing moisture and possible convective activity introduce cooling potential of 1–2°C through evaporative processes and reduced insolation. Milan’s urban heat island effect, driven by the Po Valley’s topography and concrete surfaces, typically adds 1–2°C above rural stations, helping explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 33–34°C rather than higher extremes. Model spread remains modest at this 48-hour lead time, with resolution hinging on exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer mixing; updated runs from Italian Meteo or ECMWF on August 6 will likely refine the distribution between these closely matched outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月7日のミラノの最高気温は？
8月7日のミラノの最高気温は？
34°C 42%
33°C 37%
35°C 13%
32°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
30°C or below
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
9%
33°C
37%
34°C
42%
35°C
13%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 42%
33°C 37%
35°C 13%
32°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/07
30°C or below
$15 Vol.
2%
31°C
$30 Vol.
3%
32°C
$30 Vol.
9%
33°C
$123 Vol.
37%
34°C
$127 Vol.
42%
35°C
$81 Vol.
13%
36°C
$17 Vol.
2%
37°C
$27 Vol.
2%
38°C
$45 Vol.
1%
39°C
$56 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$85 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest high-resolution ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, alongside the official BBC outlook, indicate a daytime maximum near 34°C for Milan on August 7, with light rain showers and light northeasterly winds expected to moderate peak values.** Recent heatwave conditions (37°C on August 4–6) under subtropical high pressure have set a warm baseline, but increasing moisture and possible convective activity introduce cooling potential of 1–2°C through evaporative processes and reduced insolation.
Milan’s urban heat island effect, driven by the Po Valley’s topography and concrete surfaces, typically adds 1–2°C above rural stations, helping explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 33–34°C rather than higher extremes. Model spread remains modest at this 48-hour lead time, with resolution hinging on exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer mixing; updated runs from Italian Meteo or ECMWF on August 6 will likely refine the distribution between these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$636終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest high-resolution ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, alongside the official BBC outlook, indicate a daytime maximum near 34°C for Milan on August 7, with light rain showers and light northeasterly winds expected to moderate peak values.** Recent heatwave conditions (37°C on August 4–6) under subtropical high pressure have set a warm baseline, but increasing moisture and possible convective activity introduce cooling potential of 1–2°C through evaporative processes and reduced insolation.
Milan’s urban heat island effect, driven by the Po Valley’s topography and concrete surfaces, typically adds 1–2°C above rural stations, helping explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 33–34°C rather than higher extremes. Model spread remains modest at this 48-hour lead time, with resolution hinging on exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer mixing; updated runs from Italian Meteo or ECMWF on August 6 will likely refine the distribution between these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$636終了日
2026/08/07マーケット開始日
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET**Latest high-resolution ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, alongside the official BBC outlook, indicate a daytime maximum near 34°C for Milan on August 7, with light rain showers and light northeasterly winds expected to moderate peak values.** Recent heatwave conditions (37°C on August 4–6) under subtropical high pressure have set a warm baseline, but increasing moisture and possible convective activity introduce cooling potential of 1–2°C through evaporative processes and reduced insolation. Milan’s urban heat island effect, driven by the Po Valley’s topography and concrete surfaces, typically adds 1–2°C above rural stations, helping explain why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 33–34°C rather than higher extremes. Model spread remains modest at this 48-hour lead time, with resolution hinging on exact timing of any showers and boundary-layer mixing; updated runs from Italian Meteo or ECMWF on August 6 will likely refine the distribution between these closely matched outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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