Hong Kong's subtropical summer climate, marked by persistent warm, humid air masses and limited nocturnal cooling under high humidity and urban heat effects, underpins trader consensus favoring a 29°C minimum on August 9. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects normal to above-normal temperatures for August-October 2026 amid long-term warming trends, with day-specific forecasts indicating overnight lows near 28–29°C and daytime peaks of 32–34°C. Recent model consensus aligns with these readings, showing no significant cooling fronts or typhoon influences expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains, as revisions from agencies like the HKO could shift probabilities if new observational data emerges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月9日の香港の最低気温は?
29℃ 65%
28°C 24%
30°C 10%
27℃ 4%
$13,080 Vol.
$13,080 Vol.
24°C以下
1%
25℃
<1%
26°C
2%
27℃
4%
28°C
24%
29℃
65%
30°C
10%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34℃以上
<1%
29℃ 65%
28°C 24%
30°C 10%
27℃ 4%
$13,080 Vol.
$13,080 Vol.
24°C以下
1%
25℃
<1%
26°C
2%
27℃
4%
28°C
24%
29℃
65%
30°C
10%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's subtropical summer climate, marked by persistent warm, humid air masses and limited nocturnal cooling under high humidity and urban heat effects, underpins trader consensus favoring a 29°C minimum on August 9. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects normal to above-normal temperatures for August-October 2026 amid long-term warming trends, with day-specific forecasts indicating overnight lows near 28–29°C and daytime peaks of 32–34°C. Recent model consensus aligns with these readings, showing no significant cooling fronts or typhoon influences expected to alter the pattern before resolution. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains, as revisions from agencies like the HKO could shift probabilities if new observational data emerges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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