Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate scattered showers and increased cloud cover over Shanghai on August 9, 2026, which are capping maximum temperatures near 29–30°C by limiting solar insolation and surface heating. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, where traders weigh the cooling effect of precipitation against the region’s typical August climatology of 31–32°C highs. Model consensus shows modest variability in rainfall timing and intensity, with any reduction in cloud cover potentially allowing brief spikes toward 31°C, while persistent overcast conditions could hold peaks at or below 29°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 48 hours will clarify steering patterns and moisture transport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月9日の上海の最高気温は?
29°C 36%
30°C 32%
31°C 13%
28°C 13%
$12,692 Vol.
$12,692 Vol.
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
3%
28°C
13%
29°C
36%
30°C
32%
31°C
13%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 36%
30°C 32%
31°C 13%
28°C 13%
$12,692 Vol.
$12,692 Vol.
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
3%
28°C
13%
29°C
36%
30°C
32%
31°C
13%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate scattered showers and increased cloud cover over Shanghai on August 9, 2026, which are capping maximum temperatures near 29–30°C by limiting solar insolation and surface heating. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, where traders weigh the cooling effect of precipitation against the region’s typical August climatology of 31–32°C highs. Model consensus shows modest variability in rainfall timing and intensity, with any reduction in cloud cover potentially allowing brief spikes toward 31°C, while persistent overcast conditions could hold peaks at or below 29°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 48 hours will clarify steering patterns and moisture transport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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