**Trader sentiment centers on 25–26°C as the most probable minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 9, 2026, reflecting JMA forecasts and typical mid-August nocturnal conditions under a strengthened Pacific High.** Official guidance issued August 7 shows nearby days with lows near 25°C, consistent with AccuWeather and other models projecting overnight minima of 23–26°C (roughly 73–79°F) amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and possible rain. These values align with Tokyo’s August climatology, where average lows hover around 24–25°C, rarely dropping below 22°C without unusual cooling influences. Above-normal summer temperatures across Japan, driven by an expansive subtropical high, support the slight edge for 26°C in current market-implied odds while keeping 25°C competitive. Upcoming JMA updates and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact minimum, particularly if cloud cover or precipitation alters radiative cooling overnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月9日の東京の最低気温は？
8月9日の東京の最低気温は？
26°C 46%
25℃ 30%
27℃ 4%
24℃ 4%
新規
新規
2026/08/09
21°C以下
<1%
22℃
1%
23°C
3%
24℃
4%
25℃
30%
26°C
46%
27℃
4%
28℃
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31℃以上
<1%
26°C 46%
25℃ 30%
27℃ 4%
24℃ 4%
新規
新規
2026/08/09
21°C以下
$111 Vol.
<1%
22℃
$111 Vol.
1%
23°C
$69 Vol.
3%
24℃
$99 Vol.
4%
25℃
$158 Vol.
30%
26°C
$157 Vol.
46%
27℃
$146 Vol.
4%
28℃
$23 Vol.
2%
29°C
$111 Vol.
1%
30°C
$87 Vol.
<1%
31℃以上
$87 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment centers on 25–26°C as the most probable minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 9, 2026, reflecting JMA forecasts and typical mid-August nocturnal conditions under a strengthened Pacific High.**
Official guidance issued August 7 shows nearby days with lows near 25°C, consistent with AccuWeather and other models projecting overnight minima of 23–26°C (roughly 73–79°F) amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and possible rain. These values align with Tokyo’s August climatology, where average lows hover around 24–25°C, rarely dropping below 22°C without unusual cooling influences.
Above-normal summer temperatures across Japan, driven by an expansive subtropical high, support the slight edge for 26°C in current market-implied odds while keeping 25°C competitive. Upcoming JMA updates and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact minimum, particularly if cloud cover or precipitation alters radiative cooling overnight.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$1,160終了日
2026/08/09マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment centers on 25–26°C as the most probable minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 9, 2026, reflecting JMA forecasts and typical mid-August nocturnal conditions under a strengthened Pacific High.**
Official guidance issued August 7 shows nearby days with lows near 25°C, consistent with AccuWeather and other models projecting overnight minima of 23–26°C (roughly 73–79°F) amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and possible rain. These values align with Tokyo’s August climatology, where average lows hover around 24–25°C, rarely dropping below 22°C without unusual cooling influences.
Above-normal summer temperatures across Japan, driven by an expansive subtropical high, support the slight edge for 26°C in current market-implied odds while keeping 25°C competitive. Upcoming JMA updates and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact minimum, particularly if cloud cover or precipitation alters radiative cooling overnight.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,160終了日
2026/08/09マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Trader sentiment centers on 25–26°C as the most probable minimum temperature in Tokyo on August 9, 2026, reflecting JMA forecasts and typical mid-August nocturnal conditions under a strengthened Pacific High.** Official guidance issued August 7 shows nearby days with lows near 25°C, consistent with AccuWeather and other models projecting overnight minima of 23–26°C (roughly 73–79°F) amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and possible rain. These values align with Tokyo’s August climatology, where average lows hover around 24–25°C, rarely dropping below 22°C without unusual cooling influences. Above-normal summer temperatures across Japan, driven by an expansive subtropical high, support the slight edge for 26°C in current market-implied odds while keeping 25°C competitive. Upcoming JMA updates and refined model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact minimum, particularly if cloud cover or precipitation alters radiative cooling overnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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