Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo show mostly cloudy skies on August 9 with maximum temperatures projected near 32–34°C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds favoring 32°C and 33°C. Above-normal seasonal heat driven by a strengthened Pacific high-pressure system continues to support elevated readings, though increased cloud cover could limit daytime solar heating and cap peaks below 34°C. Model consensus remains sensitive to small shifts in humidity, wind patterns, and urban heat-island effects at the official Tokyo station, with JMA updates expected to refine the outlook before resolution. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context for the narrow probability spread.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月9日の東京の最高気温は?
33°C 34%
32°C 30%
31°C 15%
34°C 14%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
15%
32°C
30%
33°C
34%
34°C
14%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 34%
32°C 30%
31°C 15%
34°C 14%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
15%
32°C
30%
33°C
34%
34°C
14%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo show mostly cloudy skies on August 9 with maximum temperatures projected near 32–34°C, aligning with the tightly bunched market-implied odds favoring 32°C and 33°C. Above-normal seasonal heat driven by a strengthened Pacific high-pressure system continues to support elevated readings, though increased cloud cover could limit daytime solar heating and cap peaks below 34°C. Model consensus remains sensitive to small shifts in humidity, wind patterns, and urban heat-island effects at the official Tokyo station, with JMA updates expected to refine the outlook before resolution. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context for the narrow probability spread.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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