Recent forecast model runs from Météo-France and European ensembles point to overnight lows near 17–18°C in Paris on August 9 amid a warming high-pressure pattern following earlier heatwave conditions. Clear skies and light winds favor radiative cooling after daytime highs potentially exceeding 30°C, while urban heat-island effects and residual moisture may limit further drops. Historical August climatology shows typical minima of 15–18°C, but current steering patterns and model consensus narrow the range, explaining tight market-implied odds around those thresholds. Updated runs and Météo-France briefings tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before official observations resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月9日のパリの最低気温は?
18°C 33%
17°C 29%
19°C 21%
16°C 11%
14°C以下
1%
15℃
2%
16°C
11%
17°C
29%
18°C
33%
19°C
21%
20°C
5%
21°C
5%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24℃以上
<1%
18°C 33%
17°C 29%
19°C 21%
16°C 11%
14°C以下
1%
15℃
2%
16°C
11%
17°C
29%
18°C
33%
19°C
21%
20°C
5%
21°C
5%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24℃以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model runs from Météo-France and European ensembles point to overnight lows near 17–18°C in Paris on August 9 amid a warming high-pressure pattern following earlier heatwave conditions. Clear skies and light winds favor radiative cooling after daytime highs potentially exceeding 30°C, while urban heat-island effects and residual moisture may limit further drops. Historical August climatology shows typical minima of 15–18°C, but current steering patterns and model consensus narrow the range, explaining tight market-implied odds around those thresholds. Updated runs and Météo-France briefings tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before official observations resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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