Recent MetService forecasts project a maximum of 13°C for Wellington on August 8 under typical winter conditions, with overnight lows near 9°C and northerly winds developing. This aligns closely with the historical August average high of 12–14°C and NIWA’s seasonal outlook favoring near-average temperatures for the Wellington region. Model guidance shows limited variability, though cloud increases and scattered showers could cap daytime readings slightly below seasonal norms. Trader positioning reflects this consensus, with the narrow spread between 13°C and 14°C outcomes driven by the narrow range of expected model runs ahead of the final observational data release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月8日のウェリントンの最高気温は?
13°C 50%
14°C 36%
12°C 7%
15°C 7%
$13,465 Vol.
$13,465 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
3%
12°C
7%
13°C
50%
14°C
36%
15°C
7%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 50%
14°C 36%
12°C 7%
15°C 7%
$13,465 Vol.
$13,465 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
3%
12°C
7%
13°C
50%
14°C
36%
15°C
7%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent MetService forecasts project a maximum of 13°C for Wellington on August 8 under typical winter conditions, with overnight lows near 9°C and northerly winds developing. This aligns closely with the historical August average high of 12–14°C and NIWA’s seasonal outlook favoring near-average temperatures for the Wellington region. Model guidance shows limited variability, though cloud increases and scattered showers could cap daytime readings slightly below seasonal norms. Trader positioning reflects this consensus, with the narrow spread between 13°C and 14°C outcomes driven by the narrow range of expected model runs ahead of the final observational data release.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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