Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate moderate rain and increased cloud cover over Shanghai on August 8, which should suppress daytime solar heating and cap maximum temperatures near 31–33°C. This aligns with typical August climatology featuring high humidity, frequent convective activity, and average highs around 31–32°C, following earlier summer peaks above 35°C. Model consensus on steering patterns and moisture advection supports these moderate outcomes, though minor shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation could allow brief clearing and push readings toward 34°C. Updated model runs from ECMWF and GFS ahead of the date will refine these projections for traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月8日の上海の最高気温は?
32°C 39%
33°C 36%
31°C 15%
34°C 11%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
15%
32°C
39%
33°C
36%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 39%
33°C 36%
31°C 15%
34°C 11%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
15%
32°C
39%
33°C
36%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate moderate rain and increased cloud cover over Shanghai on August 8, which should suppress daytime solar heating and cap maximum temperatures near 31–33°C. This aligns with typical August climatology featuring high humidity, frequent convective activity, and average highs around 31–32°C, following earlier summer peaks above 35°C. Model consensus on steering patterns and moisture advection supports these moderate outcomes, though minor shifts in timing or intensity of precipitation could allow brief clearing and push readings toward 34°C. Updated model runs from ECMWF and GFS ahead of the date will refine these projections for traders.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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