Tokyo's overnight minimum temperature on August 8 hinges on radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with the Japan Meteorological Agency forecasting a 25°C low amid daytime highs near 34°C. The tight 26°C–27°C split in trader sentiment reflects uncertainty in urban heat island retention, where concrete and asphalt slow nighttime heat loss compared to rural baselines, plus variable low-level wind and humidity that can suppress or enhance cooling by 1–2°C. Recent model consensus points to limited cloud cover overnight, favoring clearer radiative emission, yet small shifts in steering flow or localized moisture could tip the observed minimum between these thresholds. Historical August averages for Tokyo hover near 24–25°C, underscoring how current atmospheric stability keeps odds clustered around the forecast while leaving room for minor upward revisions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月8日の東京の最低気温は？
8月8日の東京の最低気温は？
26°C 47%
27℃ 47%
25℃ 5%
24°C 4%
新規
新規
2026/08/08
21℃以下
<1%
22℃
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25℃
5%
26°C
47%
27℃
47%
28℃
2%
29℃
2%
30℃
1%
31°C以上
<1%
26°C 47%
27℃ 47%
25℃ 5%
24°C 4%
新規
新規
2026/08/08
21℃以下
$109 Vol.
<1%
22℃
$132 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$92 Vol.
1%
24°C
$379 Vol.
4%
25℃
$84 Vol.
5%
26°C
$246 Vol.
47%
27℃
$1,342 Vol.
47%
28℃
$97 Vol.
2%
29℃
$150 Vol.
2%
30℃
$62 Vol.
1%
31°C以上
$302 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's overnight minimum temperature on August 8 hinges on radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with the Japan Meteorological Agency forecasting a 25°C low amid daytime highs near 34°C. The tight 26°C–27°C split in trader sentiment reflects uncertainty in urban heat island retention, where concrete and asphalt slow nighttime heat loss compared to rural baselines, plus variable low-level wind and humidity that can suppress or enhance cooling by 1–2°C. Recent model consensus points to limited cloud cover overnight, favoring clearer radiative emission, yet small shifts in steering flow or localized moisture could tip the observed minimum between these thresholds. Historical August averages for Tokyo hover near 24–25°C, underscoring how current atmospheric stability keeps odds clustered around the forecast while leaving room for minor upward revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$2,996終了日
2026/08/08マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's overnight minimum temperature on August 8 hinges on radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with the Japan Meteorological Agency forecasting a 25°C low amid daytime highs near 34°C. The tight 26°C–27°C split in trader sentiment reflects uncertainty in urban heat island retention, where concrete and asphalt slow nighttime heat loss compared to rural baselines, plus variable low-level wind and humidity that can suppress or enhance cooling by 1–2°C. Recent model consensus points to limited cloud cover overnight, favoring clearer radiative emission, yet small shifts in steering flow or localized moisture could tip the observed minimum between these thresholds. Historical August averages for Tokyo hover near 24–25°C, underscoring how current atmospheric stability keeps odds clustered around the forecast while leaving room for minor upward revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,996終了日
2026/08/08マーケット開始日
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTokyo's overnight minimum temperature on August 8 hinges on radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with the Japan Meteorological Agency forecasting a 25°C low amid daytime highs near 34°C. The tight 26°C–27°C split in trader sentiment reflects uncertainty in urban heat island retention, where concrete and asphalt slow nighttime heat loss compared to rural baselines, plus variable low-level wind and humidity that can suppress or enhance cooling by 1–2°C. Recent model consensus points to limited cloud cover overnight, favoring clearer radiative emission, yet small shifts in steering flow or localized moisture could tip the observed minimum between these thresholds. Historical August averages for Tokyo hover near 24–25°C, underscoring how current atmospheric stability keeps odds clustered around the forecast while leaving room for minor upward revisions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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