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icon for 8月9日の香港の最高気温は?

8月9日の香港の最高気温は?

icon for 8月9日の香港の最高気温は?

8月9日の香港の最高気温は?

35°C 38%

36°C 29%

37°C 19%

34°C 10%

Polymarket
新規

$11,585 Vol.

35°C 38%

36°C 29%

37°C 19%

34°C 10%

Polymarket
新規

$11,585 Vol.

31°C or below

$598 Vol.

<1%

32°C

$1,762 Vol.

<1%

33°C

$957 Vol.

3%

34°C

$1,221 Vol.

10%

35°C

$2,002 Vol.

38%

36°C

$1,242 Vol.

29%

37°C

$1,135 Vol.

19%

38°C

$1,495 Vol.

8%

39°C

$401 Vol.

<1%

40°C

$382 Vol.

<1%

41°C or higher

$390 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's tight spread between 35°C and 36°C mirrors the Hong Kong Observatory's August 7 forecast of a 36°C maximum on August 9, driven by subsiding air from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin that favors extremely hot, mainly fine conditions with isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms. These convective elements introduce key uncertainty, as early or widespread rain could cap peaks near 35°C while clearer skies push toward or above 36°C. Seasonal forecasts of normal-to-above-normal August temperatures and elevated humidity provide supportive context, but resolution hinges on precise timing of any showers. Traders will watch subsequent HKO updates and model runs for shifts in the expected maximum.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$11,585
終了日
2026/08/09
マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's tight spread between 35°C and 36°C mirrors the Hong Kong Observatory's August 7 forecast of a 36°C maximum on August 9, driven by subsiding air from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin that favors extremely hot, mainly fine conditions with isolated afternoon showers or thunderstorms. These convective elements introduce key uncertainty, as early or widespread rain could cap peaks near 35°C while clearer skies push toward or above 36°C. Seasonal forecasts of normal-to-above-normal August temperatures and elevated humidity provide supportive context, but resolution hinges on precise timing of any showers. Traders will watch subsequent HKO updates and model runs for shifts in the expected maximum.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$11,585
終了日
2026/08/09
マーケット開始日
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「8月9日の香港の最高気温は?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「35°C」で38%、次いで「36°C」が28%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、38¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に38%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「8月9日の香港の最高気温は?」は$11.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Aug 7, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「8月9日の香港の最高気温は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「8月9日の香港の最高気温は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「35°C」で38%であり、市場がこの結果に38%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「36°C」で28%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「8月9日の香港の最高気温は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。